Realized P&L (7d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved (7d)
32
Trades (7d)
38
750 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$359
$3.86K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$126
20 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Other
69% 30% +$59
Sports
14% 43% -$54
Politics
9% 22% +$38
Crypto
6% 49% -$19
Tech
2% 25% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +245 $47 16¢ $40 -$8 09-26 00:44
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,125 $9 2¢ $21 +$12 08-10 01:05
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +323 $10 4¢ $11 +$1 08-07 01:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +66 $8 12¢ $8 $0 07-25 01:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +121 $9 6¢ $7 -$2 08-07 01:22
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 Yes +50 $6 11¢ $6 $0 08-02 20:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +35 $5 15¢ $5 +$0 07-27 23:13
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +88 $15 6¢ $5 -$10 08-03 23:10
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +85 $5 6¢ $5 $0 10-30 00:15
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +86 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 07-26 02:56
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +51 $6 6¢ $3 -$3 08-02 21:07
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +45 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 07-24 00:43
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +113 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 08-11 01:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +15 $3 15¢ $2 -$1 08-03 02:11
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $2 4¢ $2 $0 09-26 00:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +32 $11 3¢ $1 -$10 07-25 01:42
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +333 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 08-20 16:38
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes +48 $1 1¢ $1 $0 07-24 00:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +83 $1 1¢ $1 $0 09-26 00:55
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-24 00:35