Prudent-Socialism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

457

Trades

789

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-25 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

54% 86% -$27

Crypto

35% 81% +$13

Sports

11% 38% -$2

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 11:30 UTC	13	$66	71	31	+40	Up	-$20	01-18 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 11:15 UTC	3	$52	60	0	+60	Down	+$8	01-18 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 07:30 UTC	8	$48	52	0	+52	Down	+$4	01-18 07:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:00 UTC	1	$44	48	0	+48	Down	+$4	01-20 02:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 14:15 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	01-18 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 11:45 UTC	1	$42	42	0	+42	Up	+$0	01-18 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 14:45 UTC	1	$41	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	01-22 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 14:30 UTC	1	$39	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	01-22 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 07:15 UTC	8	$39	43	0	+43	Up	+$4	01-18 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 07:00 UTC	9	$39	44	0	+44	Down	+$5	01-18 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 14:15 UTC	1	$39	39	0	+39	Down	+$1	01-22 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 14:00 UTC	1	$38	39	0	+39	Up	+$0	01-22 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 06:45 UTC	8	$34	40	0	+40	Down	+$6	01-18 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 07:45 UTC	4	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	01-17 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 07:15 UTC	1	$31	31	0	+31	Up	+$0	01-17 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 16:15 UTC	2	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	01-16 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 09:15 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	01-16 09:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 03:30 UTC	1	$29	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	01-16 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 13:45 UTC	3	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	01-15 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	6	$26	27	0	+27	Down	+$1	05-06 10:09
bun ein lei 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	3	$23	13	13	+0	Under	+$3	04-18 18:37
bun uni wol 2026 04 18 wol	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	04-18 15:30
fl1 ang hac 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	2	$22	12	12	+0	Under	+$2	04-18 18:59
elc wat she 2026 04 18 total 3pt5	2	$21	11	11	+0	Under	+$1	04-18 16:33
es2 leo cor 2026 04 18 total 3pt5	2	$21	11	11	+0	Under	+$1	04-18 18:37
itsb pal ces 2026 04 18 total 3pt5	2	$21	11	11	+0	Under	+$1	04-18 17:39
elc wre sto 2026 04 18 wre	3	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 15:59
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 total 4pt5	2	$21	11	11	+0	Under	+$1	04-19 15:13
fl1 lor olm 2026 04 18 lor	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 17:00
epl tot bri 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	2	$21	12	12	+0	Under	+$1	04-18 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 08:03:34	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x255ad8…
06-25 08:03:31	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	74	8¢	$6	0x6c1939…
06-25 08:03:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xe189ce…
06-25 08:03:26	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x337f35…
06-25 08:03:25	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xbcda44…
06-23 02:12:07	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x437b2a…
06-23 02:12:04	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8dfb9a…
06-23 02:11:59	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf10593…
06-23 02:11:53	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x14f0fb…
06-23 02:11:49	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc66187…
06-23 02:11:46	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdaa397…
06-23 02:11:32	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa2f6e6…
06-23 02:11:29	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x223632…
06-23 02:06:16	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xce2201…
06-23 02:06:13	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfa0f3d…
06-23 02:06:07	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaac6f4…
06-23 02:06:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x32cd7c…
06-23 02:05:50	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xbc96ec…
06-23 02:05:43	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x380e91…
06-23 02:05:37	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x501119…
06-23 02:05:32	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea01b5…
06-23 02:05:29	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa41193…
06-23 02:05:25	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7c42cf…
06-23 02:05:20	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf7d959…
06-23 02:05:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xad1a3e…
06-23 02:05:07	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xdf814d…
06-21 06:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x28b4e6…
06-21 06:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x114729…
06-21 06:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe4fc2c…
06-15 15:17:42	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe48a54…
06-14 11:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x51fb12…
06-14 09:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3560cf…
06-14 09:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6f60c0…
06-14 08:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x15e54d…
06-14 08:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x15084c…
06-14 08:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7f9ae1…
06-14 08:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x027b31…
06-14 08:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9bec5c…
06-14 08:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1a4e22…
06-14 08:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc52b5e…
06-14 08:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0f83d1…
06-14 08:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbd93c7…
06-14 08:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x18e59e…
06-14 08:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6c83ac…
06-14 08:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x61af2a…
06-14 08:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4e3db9…
06-14 08:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8c13c4…
06-14 08:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x17943b…
06-14 08:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9c1d72…
06-14 08:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf4fdac…
06-14 08:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6e7ad2…
06-14 08:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xba63c4…
06-14 08:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2fda8b…
06-14 08:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x350701…
06-14 08:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x13e3b7…
06-14 08:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2f3e91…
06-14 08:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa2e37c…
06-14 08:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbb2025…
06-14 08:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1ed316…
06-14 08:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcb1bfa…
06-14 03:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0a2be2…
06-14 02:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe3acb1…
06-14 02:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x23fb59…
06-14 02:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x99f2a7…
06-14 02:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeaffd8…
06-14 02:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x288028…
06-14 02:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdf4a3c…
06-14 02:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6e8fe4…
06-14 02:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1d424c…
06-14 02:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x03bef1…
06-13 16:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4ccbfb…
06-13 16:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe52c5d…
06-13 16:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xef6c54…
06-13 16:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x16f218…
06-13 16:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xde82c3…
06-13 16:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x63e236…
06-13 16:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7f1ae3…
06-13 16:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3c99fa…
06-13 16:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe48dd1…
06-13 16:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcb30a9…
06-13 16:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb0d331…
06-13 08:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf94e60…
06-13 08:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x77e3c3…
06-13 05:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x15fda9…
06-13 04:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb5b185…
06-13 04:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x571a21…
06-13 04:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x74ca83…
06-13 04:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc725fd…
06-13 04:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4d6c15…
06-13 04:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xec9ebb…
06-13 04:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x312427…
06-13 04:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3eef04…
06-13 04:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x58fb6f…
06-13 04:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x52cd8e…
06-13 04:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf8d284…
06-13 04:34:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xda6f2a…
06-13 04:34:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x81a7ec…
06-13 04:34:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6c5377…
06-13 04:34:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1ed75c…
06-13 04:34:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on June 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x193236…