Robust-Hamburger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$405

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$1.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$90

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 08-25 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Sports

58% 100% +$354

Other

32% 100% +$1

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

4% 100% +$51

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-500	-$95	18¢	$-90	+$5	04-30 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$577	930	0	+930	Yes	+$353	06-12 12:05
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$388	205	205	+0	No	+$0	03-14 07:23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$95	0	500	-500	open	—	04-30 02:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 02:30 UTC	5	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$51	03-03 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C or higher on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-29 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on July 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-13 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-19 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on July 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 09:47
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-13 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 04:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 09:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-08 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or below on August 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 08:44
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	05-29 08:30
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 08:09
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on July 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-08 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 48°C on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 07:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xecf458…
08-25 07:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x24d324…
08-25 07:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x724f38…
07-24 06:08:28	Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdf0390…
07-24 04:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4de7a9…
07-24 04:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x928ce6…
07-16 09:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50e6b1…
07-16 09:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf084f3…
07-16 09:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 41°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x4886c9…
07-14 03:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7360cd…
07-14 03:45:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xde790f…
07-14 03:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x09c3db…
07-02 03:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65a746…
07-02 03:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x072e10…
07-02 03:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x70d8aa…
06-12 12:05:12	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	62¢	$36	0x810366…
06-12 12:03:37	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x38bec4…
06-12 10:53:39	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3f8da7…
06-12 10:52:15	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	590	62¢	$366	0xd0ab02…
06-12 10:52:15	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	62¢	$37	0x666ece…
06-12 10:52:15	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1093d0…
06-12 10:17:09	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x63db22…
06-12 09:41:42	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xddd09d…
06-12 09:34:54	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	172	62¢	$107	0xc23cc7…
06-08 03:35:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb66ffc…
06-08 03:33:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfbf205…
06-08 03:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaef3d9…
06-08 03:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x44c372…
06-08 03:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf55a2…
05-29 08:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28800d…
05-29 08:30:24	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x10ed7b…
05-29 08:29:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5bfbb7…
05-29 08:27:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0d56e5…
05-25 05:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x72facb…
05-25 05:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63ac8c…
05-25 05:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71b87b…
05-25 05:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x437183…
05-25 05:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x610e8c…
05-25 05:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f22dc…
05-22 10:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x64bc5a…
05-22 10:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x923504…
05-22 10:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7892de…
05-22 10:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x13f30b…
05-22 10:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6b0f92…
05-22 10:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8def7…
05-21 08:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 48°C on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x74d161…
05-21 08:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98eea0…
05-21 08:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5da1a6…
05-21 08:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x337171…
05-21 08:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5349df…
05-21 08:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3bb834…
05-20 09:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x2837e3…
05-20 09:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87a690…
05-20 09:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa0f66e…
05-19 08:17:20	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x764eea…
05-19 08:15:37	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59a2b1…
05-19 08:13:29	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x151455…
05-19 08:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x63de9e…
05-19 08:11:07	Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe93127…
05-19 08:09:56	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x642f66…
05-14 09:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7f6b0d…
05-14 09:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x472d2f…
05-14 09:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec5f4…
05-13 10:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x54a460…
05-13 10:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x544fb9…
05-13 10:27:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x142170…
05-13 10:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x191cc4…
05-13 10:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9248c1…
05-13 10:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x28dd53…
05-13 10:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2acf74…
05-13 10:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x684154…
05-13 10:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe478a9…
05-11 08:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x602a92…
05-11 08:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd895ae…
05-11 08:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4d857a…
05-11 08:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86c3bf…
05-11 08:34:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2723e1…
05-11 08:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91ff20…
05-11 08:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6eb7ea…
05-11 08:29:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef9af8…
05-11 08:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfc4357…
05-11 08:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20ff75…
05-11 08:25:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0b8f9…
05-11 08:24:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd27b85…
05-09 03:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a2d77…
05-09 03:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe38519…
05-09 03:39:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee7f58…
05-08 06:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e3bfa…
05-08 06:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3986fe…
05-08 06:49:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c55d9…
05-07 02:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x295a9a…
05-07 02:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1954ca…
05-07 02:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8d9b8c…
04-30 02:49:10	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0x794586…
04-23 09:05:40	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb2978…
04-23 09:03:04	highest temperature in jeddah on april 24 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6033a…
04-23 09:01:12	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x84c2f4…
03-14 07:23:17	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x777be7…
03-14 07:20:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	127	95¢	$120	0xa373d8…
03-13 07:59:35	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	205	95¢	$194	0x09a5ec…