Unnatural-Sailboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

9.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$151

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$55

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

96% 67% $-2

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?	Yes	+32	$30	92¢	$30	$-0	05-13 02:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+43	$20	44¢	$19	$-1	05-13 03:31
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	+4	$3	75¢	$3	+$0	05-13 03:28
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	+5	$3	57¢	$3	+$0	05-13 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 03:31:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x29f44b…
05-13 03:28:40	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x121317…
05-13 03:28:05	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x392f17…
05-13 02:23:56	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x1589c0…
05-09 19:43:12	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	266	0¢	$0	0x3af3b0…
05-09 03:49:15	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x54dbd9…
05-06 01:04:32	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0xc97f41…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	1	$86	0	90	-90	Yes	$-4	05-06 01:04
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	05-13 02:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-13 03:31
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	1	$9	11	0	+11	Yes	+$2	05-09 03:49
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 03:28
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-13 03:28
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	1	$0	0	266	-266	No	+$0	05-09 19:43