Lasting-Permafrost 0xa2d2d4…0e36b6
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
845
lifetime
Volume
$2.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$83
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-29 19:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61% 0% $-11
Other
26% 100% +$2
Sports
10% — —
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -17 $-17 100¢ $-17 $-0 06-09 12:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-1 06-13 14:03
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 84¢ $-13 $-3 06-08 07:56
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +27 $8 37¢ $10 +$2 06-04 09:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +20 $7 34¢ $7 $-0 06-18 16:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $6 56¢ $7 +$1 06-05 03:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 +$1 06-16 08:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -3 $-0 100¢ $-3 $-2 06-21 03:06
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +3 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-12 23:38
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-27 08:52
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-25 15:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +38 $3 1¢ $0 $-2 06-25 18:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +59 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 06-21 19:21
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-06 21:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -6 $-5 0¢ $-0 +$5 06-19 19:18