Lasting-Permafrost 0xa2d2d4…0e36b6
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Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
490
lifetime
Volume
$1.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$86
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-09 14:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61% 0% $-11
Other
25% 100% +$2
Sports
12% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -17 $-17 98¢ $-17 +$0 06-09 12:32
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 72¢ $-12 $-1 06-08 07:56
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes +9 $4 82¢ $7 +$3 06-05 14:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $6 56¢ $7 +$1 06-05 03:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +8 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 06-06 19:11
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-08 14:42
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +42 $7 13¢ $5 $-2 06-09 20:55
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 54¢ $5 $-1 06-06 15:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 64¢ $5 $-1 06-03 16:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +7 $4 56¢ $4 +$0 06-07 13:34
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +27 $8 14¢ $4 $-4 06-04 09:53
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +13 $4 26¢ $4 $-0 06-04 03:57
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +30 $3 6¢ $2 $-1 06-02 20:20
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 06-05 01:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1 $-1 72¢ $-1 +$0 06-05 14:05
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 1¢ $0 $-0 06-06 21:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 14¢ $-0 $-0 06-08 13:31