Purple-Grid — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$86

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

210 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$6.98K

$10.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-31 16:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$53

Other

26% 99% +$38

Crypto

17% 100% +$30

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+12	$11	94¢	$11	$0	10-08 00:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+18	$14	64¢	$11	-$2	10-27 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$998	517	517	+0	No	+$16	10-28 11:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$718	531	278	+253	Yes	+$7	10-25 23:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$536	269	269	+0	No	+$2	09-08 01:21
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$509	260	260	+0	Yes	+$1	10-29 13:11
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	3	$452	230	230	+0	No	+$9	09-01 06:58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$401	203	203	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 21:58
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$269	270	0	+270	No	+$0	09-16 00:32
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$269	272	0	+272	Yes	+$3	09-10 19:37
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	1	$238	238	0	+238	Yes	+$0	08-07 00:41
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$227	229	0	+229	No	+$2	08-16 22:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$225	227	0	+227	No	+$2	08-15 12:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$223	223	0	+223	No	+$0	07-31 08:37
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$222	239	0	+239	No	+$17	08-04 21:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	2	$222	222	0	+222	No	+$0	08-07 22:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	06-02 11:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$215	227	0	+227	No	+$11	08-12 15:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$215	216	0	+216	No	+$2	08-11 04:36
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$213	217	0	+217	Yes	+$4	08-20 16:26
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$202	105	105	+0	No	+$8	09-30 12:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	09-30 19:08
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$189	190	0	+190	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:47
Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$177	177	0	+177	No	+$0	06-26 19:13
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$173	182	0	+182	Yes	+$9	05-25 14:04
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$167	167	0	+167	No	+$0	05-30 08:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$165	166	0	+166	No	+$0	05-15 09:37
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$165	166	0	+166	Yes	+$0	05-14 18:50
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$165	175	0	+175	Yes	+$10	05-20 18:27
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$164	165	0	+165	No	+$1	05-16 13:45
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$163	165	0	+165	Yes	+$2	05-12 18:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$159	164	0	+164	No	+$6	05-09 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:15:13	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x50dc92…
10-29 13:11:02	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	260	98¢	$255	0x155d6a…
10-29 09:40:04	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	260	98¢	$254	0x1e4991…
10-28 11:44:01	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	258	98¢	$253	0x29f48b…
10-28 07:20:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	258	97¢	$250	0x882428…
10-28 06:16:16	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	259	98¢	$254	0xdbaf3c…
10-28 03:45:39	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1e6725…
10-27 20:55:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0xc89cdc…
10-27 20:03:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	174	93¢	$162	0xb6037e…
10-27 20:03:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x7efb9e…
10-27 20:03:05	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x81f9ec…
10-27 14:23:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xc5b7f3…
10-27 13:25:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe05aff…
10-25 23:52:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	253	98¢	$249	0x41445f…
10-13 06:55:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd60fb8…
10-12 14:33:29	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	65	83¢	$54	0xbb530f…
10-12 07:43:19	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x32a03b…
10-09 12:04:55	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb8c5e…
10-09 08:59:36	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xa06eb9…
10-09 06:03:13	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xbebbe0…
10-09 00:53:48	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x2e7a9c…
10-08 23:05:09	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x214869…
10-08 17:18:00	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x08b5f1…
10-08 13:27:15	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x097b89…
10-08 13:24:02	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x17c6b5…
10-08 00:07:41	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xedddf7…
10-05 13:28:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	278	85¢	$236	0x67986c…
10-05 02:21:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	278	84¢	$233	0xfb8994…
10-04 21:58:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	203	99¢	$200	0x32dfa5…
10-04 09:50:20	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	83¢	$78	0xba53f5…
10-03 18:55:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x6aa31f…
10-03 07:09:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x409f4b…
10-01 02:49:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb71a1c…
09-30 19:08:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x7e6b72…
09-30 12:04:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x2088de…
09-30 10:49:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4ec5d5…
09-30 00:38:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd0fa1d…
09-29 18:25:09	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb4ffc0…
09-29 06:23:32	Will Solana reach $170 in September?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa6ed34…
09-28 21:00:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xa232e4…
09-25 15:37:50	will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	94	82¢	$77	0xa8b107…
09-25 00:23:11	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	105	92¢	$97	0xe3353d…
09-24 02:51:40	Will Solana reach $170 in September?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x133cfd…
09-22 11:51:01	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x64a362…
09-18 13:19:59	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x4c9288…
09-16 00:32:03	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x46c6dd…
09-10 19:37:03	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdbc237…
09-10 14:06:15	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	266	99¢	$263	0x8b805b…
09-09 17:53:22	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa1ad25…
09-08 01:21:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0x426205…
09-05 00:09:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	269	99¢	$267	0x04a5e9…
09-01 06:58:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x581de5…
08-27 18:16:07	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6a01a2…
08-26 16:54:16	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	228	96¢	$219	0x684e4c…
08-25 23:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x9b70ce…
08-25 22:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2b9010…
08-25 22:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9eb92e…
08-25 18:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xde7e74…
08-25 17:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x263104…
08-25 16:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x361942…
08-25 15:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe25003…
08-21 10:49:18	Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06e340…
08-20 16:26:48	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0x58b79e…
08-20 16:20:18	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3c8b82…
08-19 20:29:19	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x099f25…
08-17 22:26:16	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac888e…
08-16 22:32:30	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	229	99¢	$227	0x6e29c0…
08-15 12:22:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0xa33ad7…
08-13 16:47:48	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6822bd…
08-12 15:51:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	227	95¢	$215	0x92b0d5…
08-11 09:54:00	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67d41a…
08-11 04:36:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	216	99¢	$215	0x52e709…
08-11 02:05:42	will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cb85f…
08-07 22:40:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xccb5e8…
08-07 16:21:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x63b582…
08-07 16:07:37	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5d0dff…
08-07 09:15:19	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x02c344…
08-07 00:41:30	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0xf49d40…
08-04 21:58:17	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	239	93¢	$222	0x33625f…
07-31 08:37:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0xa16739…
06-29 20:07:07	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xed2b86…
06-29 02:00:13	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x064603…
06-28 23:27:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x73290a…
06-28 14:01:41	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x36af0c…
06-26 21:23:11	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe5a122…
06-26 19:13:56	Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x9b8a62…
06-02 11:48:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x26e835…
05-30 08:15:03	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x9470d9…
05-30 07:08:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd91017…
05-29 11:30:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xc955e4…
05-28 02:42:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x654371…
05-27 21:48:38	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x533eab…
05-25 14:04:42	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	182	95¢	$173	0x630dad…
05-21 05:57:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xee2e69…
05-20 18:27:22	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	175	94¢	$165	0x9fa184…
05-16 22:13:54	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x593e80…
05-16 13:45:58	Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0x6f24cc…
05-15 11:21:48	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x641e75…
05-15 09:37:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$165	0x3a9a15…
05-14 18:50:50	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$165	0xabd11e…