Realized P&L
+$450
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
327
Trades
741
lifetime
Volume
$3.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$38
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-05 04:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Politics
51% 25% +$22
Other
33% 10% +$300
Sports
14% 25% +$148
Crypto
2% 7% -$39
Tech
0% 100% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $5 10¢ $7 +$2 11-05 04:48
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +34 $5 13¢ $4 -$1 11-05 04:20
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15 $4 26¢ $4 $0 11-05 04:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +35 $9 11¢ $4 -$5 08-07 23:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +47 $10 7¢ $3 -$7 11-03 03:56
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +151 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 07-21 03:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +154 $4 2¢ $3 -$1 11-05 04:49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $3 10¢ $2 -$1 08-31 05:19
Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? Yes +33 $2 6¢ $2 $0 11-05 04:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +23 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 08-27 05:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +14 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 08-10 04:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +74 $7 2¢ $1 -$6 08-27 19:15
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +37 $4 3¢ $1 -$3 08-27 04:36
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 Yes +15 $4 4¢ $1 -$3 08-31 05:20