Linear-Dolman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.94K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

16.1%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$58.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

$381

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-12 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-3

Sports

41% 50% +$1,945

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No		+383	$382	100¢	$381	$-1	06-12 08:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.2K	2,126	2,126	+0	open	—	03-26 02:23
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4.0K	2,027	2,027	+0	open	—	03-22 14:09
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	4	$3.7K	1,832	1,832	+0	No	$-2	03-24 14:31
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.3K	1,645	1,645	+0	open	—	04-08 09:42
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$3.1K	1,539	1,539	+0	No	$-2	03-21 11:17
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	8	$2.5K	1,273	1,273	+0	open	—	03-25 11:56
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	31	$2.5K	1,271	1,271	+0	open	—	03-25 22:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	15	$2.2K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-16 10:19
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	03-22 08:32
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	03-19 21:47
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.9K	969	969	+0	No	$-1	03-20 11:45
will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$1.9K	960	960	+0	open	—	03-23 10:01
will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$1.9K	931	931	+0	open	—	03-28 11:42
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.7K	864	864	+0	open	—	03-11 03:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	12	$1.7K	887	822	+64	open	—	03-04 05:29
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	2	$1.7K	3,605	0	+3,605	Thunder	+$1,947	05-05 07:58
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.6K	785	785	+0	open	—	02-18 05:09
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	776	776	+0	open	—	02-26 19:39
Will XRP reach $2.20 in May?	1	$1.4K	1,366	0	+1,366	open	—	05-26 11:50
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.2K	622	622	+0	open	—	03-02 19:08
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$1.1K	571	571	+0	open	—	03-06 10:19
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$1.1K	563	563	+0	open	—	01-15 18:15
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.1K	558	558	+0	open	—	03-03 20:02
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.1K	546	546	+0	open	—	02-06 08:05
nba orl dal 2026 04 03	2	$1.1K	1,537	0	+1,537	open	—	04-03 06:27
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.1K	547	547	+0	open	—	01-20 08:49
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$984	493	493	+0	open	—	03-01 16:17
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$925	466	466	+0	open	—	01-25 06:05
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$604	306	306	+0	open	—	01-24 07:57
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	1	$382	383	0	+383	open	—	06-12 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 08:34:55	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	383	100¢	$382	0xdcccd0…
06-04 06:02:40	mlb sf mil 2026 06 04	San Francisco Giants	BUY	133	40¢	$53	0x628c4a…
06-02 05:11:33	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	139	60¢	$83	0x3e69c5…
05-31 02:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	469	32¢	$150	0xf78ba1…
05-31 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xcc424a…
05-31 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x99ed2b…
05-31 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x8f23f5…
05-31 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7361b5…
05-31 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x3ae5b3…
05-31 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0x2580ec…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf973e7…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0xead54b…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe4a037…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe1719c…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xd35783…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcb3248…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc9e7a9…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb7fb06…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x8b5bd3…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x7c515f…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x773c0b…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x56285b…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x526f1e…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4f8e8d…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4d20c4…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2b29d6…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2108af…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x11fc6d…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x111f16…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x07b1a3…
05-31 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x0783c1…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xfb8bc1…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0xeeb418…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x785a50…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0x6ca699…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6c0fd5…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x544582…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x518452…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2b6ca3…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x23046c…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x19d9ba…
05-30 06:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x0db907…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xf6bfa6…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf064a7…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xedf0ab…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd61d18…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xd44851…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd247f8…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xcfe8a4…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xc6340c…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb80d8e…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xae41b3…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0xa99045…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa1080e…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x9f1f86…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x88f973…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x84c460…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x82ba3b…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x7fd36d…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x783938…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x775a0e…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x741874…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x72f407…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x623b85…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x4aafd0…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x45d7d6…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x429c5e…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3cbe2f…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3b301c…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0de735…
05-30 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x047e78…
05-30 06:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xa2fa6c…
05-30 06:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf3b927…
05-30 06:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x1f4b85…
05-30 06:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x065ed4…
05-30 06:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	150	23¢	$35	0xb4bdf8…
05-26 11:50:45	Will XRP reach $2.20 in May?	No	BUY	1,366	100¢	$1,365	0xfc589e…
05-21 06:03:07	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0x675635…
05-05 07:58:10	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Thunder	BUY	3,513	46¢	$1,616	0xdcc562…
05-05 07:57:34	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Thunder	BUY	92	46¢	$42	0x60be57…
04-08 09:42:45	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,645	100¢	$1,640	0x6ef036…
04-08 08:40:55	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,645	100¢	$1,642	0x263767…
04-03 06:27:57	nba orl dal 2026 04 03	Magic	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0xf251d2…
04-03 06:26:35	nba orl dal 2026 04 03	Magic	BUY	1,499	70¢	$1,049	0x6337e9…
03-28 11:42:15	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	931	100¢	$927	0x07c397…
03-28 10:12:27	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	931	100¢	$928	0x8a6227…
03-28 07:55:53	will silver si hit low 40 by end of march	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb95c88…
03-26 02:23:37	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,032	99¢	$1,025	0xce7188…
03-26 00:17:15	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,032	100¢	$1,027	0xe33c03…
03-25 22:23:29	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	380	99¢	$378	0xd65dae…
03-25 22:11:41	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x95b45a…
03-25 22:11:41	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x166f46…
03-25 22:11:17	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x41e6b0…
03-25 22:11:17	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x01f78d…
03-25 22:10:37	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa2ef30…
03-25 22:10:31	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf90348…
03-25 22:09:27	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x5e799b…
03-25 22:09:27	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x421783…
03-25 22:08:29	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	216	99¢	$215	0x720f33…
03-25 22:05:27	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcda4c7…