Suspicious-Humour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-14 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

58% 43% -$7

Politics

42% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No		+6	$4	80¢	$4	+$0	09-03 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO dissolves before 2027?	3	$969	510	510	+0	open	—	05-19 08:16
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	2	$925	500	500	+0	No	+$5	05-23 01:03
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	2	$922	485	485	+0	open	—	05-23 03:23
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	2	$880	460	460	+0	open	—	07-13 07:14
will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	3	$869	475	475	+0	open	—	07-13 09:08
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	2	$833	455	455	+0	open	—	07-09 10:09
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$828	445	445	+0	open	—	07-09 11:14
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	2	$509	268	268	+0	open	—	06-22 09:05
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	2	$506	268	268	+0	No	-$3	06-22 10:13
Spread: SS Juve Stabia (-1.5)	1	$485	510	0	+510	AC Monza	+$25	05-19 08:23
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	1	$460	495	0	+495	Sydney FC	+$35	05-23 04:02
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	9	$239	1,098	1,098	+0	open	—	05-24 06:06
will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	4	$120	920	920	+0	open	—	08-02 04:41
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$116	714	714	+0	No	+$0	04-16 03:07
hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	3	$92	920	920	+0	No	-$9	08-02 06:29
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5	2	$59	990	0	+990	Over	-$59	05-24 06:09
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	09-03 08:55
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-14 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 05:54:02	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x84aed0…
09-03 08:55:43	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xea6e1d…
08-02 06:29:06	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	Yes	SELL	920	4¢	$41	0x811cce…
08-02 04:59:23	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	Yes	BUY	450	6¢	$25	0xe9e5b7…
08-02 04:59:23	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	Yes	BUY	470	6¢	$26	0x71d0da…
08-02 04:41:48	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	Yes	SELL	470	6¢	$28	0x4ecb8f…
08-02 04:41:30	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	Yes	SELL	450	6¢	$27	0x29ade3…
08-02 02:52:11	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	Yes	BUY	470	7¢	$33	0xe0d9a6…
08-02 02:52:09	will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	Yes	BUY	450	7¢	$32	0x8e4ab0…
07-13 09:08:50	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xcbac92…
07-13 09:08:31	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	SELL	462	91¢	$420	0xd0b187…
07-13 07:59:44	will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	No	BUY	475	92¢	$437	0x330741…
07-13 07:14:49	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	460	96¢	$440	0xd5d5b6…
07-13 05:42:38	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	460	96¢	$440	0x816eca…
07-09 11:14:07	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	445	93¢	$414	0xbbded6…
07-09 10:14:55	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	445	93¢	$414	0x80622f…
07-09 10:09:47	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	455	91¢	$414	0x01611c…
07-09 07:15:04	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	455	92¢	$419	0x392413…
06-22 10:13:11	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	268	94¢	$251	0x9a594e…
06-22 09:10:46	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	268	95¢	$255	0x850740…
06-22 09:05:08	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	268	95¢	$255	0xe4cd8e…
06-22 07:37:59	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	268	95¢	$255	0xcc2123…
05-24 06:09:42	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	510	6¢	$31	0xf12910…
05-24 06:09:26	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	480	6¢	$29	0xa93e0a…
05-24 06:06:03	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x331cd0…
05-24 06:04:44	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xddeab9…
05-24 06:03:59	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0x141552…
05-24 05:59:54	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	520	11¢	$57	0x6ea64d…
05-24 05:59:28	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa6507b…
05-24 05:58:32	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	510	11¢	$56	0x6106e8…
05-24 05:58:04	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	11¢	$5	0xac4724…
05-24 02:41:15	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	540	10¢	$54	0xec569f…
05-24 02:35:00	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	BUY	510	10¢	$51	0x6a1c21…
05-23 04:02:15	Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	495	93¢	$460	0x5421e6…
05-23 03:23:14	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	485	95¢	$461	0x817360…
05-23 02:14:10	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	485	95¢	$461	0xe17736…
05-23 01:03:43	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0xc54647…
05-20 01:59:19	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x955f9d…
05-19 08:23:35	Spread: SS Juve Stabia (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	510	95¢	$485	0xa62b43…
05-19 08:16:52	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x474367…
05-19 08:16:07	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	455	95¢	$432	0x4b194b…
05-19 06:22:27	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	510	95¢	$484	0x4250d5…
04-16 03:07:52	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	337	8¢	$27	0x2012bb…
04-16 03:07:22	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	377	8¢	$31	0x83e99c…
04-16 02:13:12	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	8¢	$27	0x8454b2…
04-16 02:12:46	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	8¢	$31	0xacaa46…