Realized P&L
-$1.94K
Unrealized P&L
-$542
Hit rate
56.7%
Resolved
107
Trades
353
lifetime
Volume
$18.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$560
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 04-28 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
63%
63%
-$1,114
Politics
30%
64%
-$541
Sports
2%
75%
-$104
Crypto
2%
100%
+$44
Pop-Culture
1%
0%
-$233
Tech
1%
100%
+$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-28).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -156 | -$1 | 99¢ | $-155 | -$154 | 04-28 12:16 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | -112 | -$6 | 99¢ | $-111 | -$106 | 04-28 12:16 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -109 | -$3 | 99¢ | $-108 | -$105 | 04-28 12:16 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | -100 | -$1 | 98¢ | $-98 | -$97 | 04-28 12:13 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | -192 | -$7 | 46¢ | $-87 | -$81 | 04-28 12:16 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cs2 tyloo fal2 2026 03 22 game1 | 33 | $2.2K | 1,887 | 1,721 | +167 | TYLOO | -$163 | 03-22 12:09 |
| cs2 tyloo fal2 2026 03 22 | 33 | $1.4K | 1,000 | 746 | +253 | Team Falcons | +$51 | 03-22 12:08 |
| cs2 run2 hashir 2026 03 22 | 19 | $581 | 535 | 274 | +262 | Hashiras | -$84 | 03-22 11:55 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 6 | $578 | 345 | 345 | +0 | No | -$14 | 03-26 09:20 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 4 | $497 | 271 | 271 | +0 | No | +$7 | 03-27 06:28 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 4 | $412 | 260 | 260 | +0 | No | +$12 | 04-12 12:36 |
| cs2 tyloo fal2 2026 03 22 game2 | 11 | $396 | 249 | 248 | +0 | Team Falcons | -$4 | 03-22 12:14 |
| val tyloo blg 2026 03 22 | 10 | $362 | 253 | 252 | +1 | Bilibili Gaming | -$37 | 03-22 11:06 |
| will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31 | 7 | $321 | 229 | 229 | +0 | No | -$78 | 03-24 22:09 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294 | 2 | $309 | 175 | 175 | +0 | No | +$19 | 03-23 11:15 |
| will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election | 2 | $241 | 266 | 0 | +266 | Yes | +$25 | 03-17 10:09 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 5 | $237 | 175 | 175 | +0 | Yes | +$37 | 04-11 09:37 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | 2 | $219 | 122 | 121 | +1 | No | +$20 | 04-28 12:13 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921 | 2 | $213 | 114 | 114 | +0 | Yes | +$13 | 03-23 18:31 |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30? | 3 | $211 | 116 | 116 | +0 | No | +$11 | 04-19 04:47 |
| North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026? | 3 | $206 | 108 | 108 | +0 | Yes | +$6 | 04-13 21:26 |
| us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363 | 2 | $205 | 137 | 137 | +0 | No | +$5 | 03-25 12:45 |
| us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678 | 2 | $204 | 108 | 108 | +0 | Yes | +$4 | 04-11 12:35 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | 2 | $204 | 118 | 118 | +0 | No | +$4 | 04-11 10:56 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 3 | $203 | 113 | 113 | +0 | No | +$11 | 04-28 12:15 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 2 | $201 | 128 | 128 | +0 | Yes | +$1 | 04-11 09:22 |
| cs2 faze tyloo 2026 03 20 game1 | 1 | $200 | 213 | 0 | +213 | TYLOO | +$13 | 03-20 13:58 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 2 | $200 | 353 | 0 | +353 | Yes | -$11 | 03-23 16:44 |
| iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31 | 5 | $200 | 218 | 0 | +218 | No | +$18 | 03-24 21:12 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 2 | $199 | 139 | 139 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 04-12 11:59 |
| will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026 | 2 | $191 | 112 | 112 | +0 | No | -$9 | 04-13 07:12 |
| Will Netflix dip to $70 in April? | 2 | $188 | 105 | 105 | +0 | No | -$12 | 03-26 21:25 |
| us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15 | 4 | $188 | 106 | 106 | +0 | No | -$12 | 04-11 13:07 |
| dota2 aur1 ts8 2026 03 22 game2 | 3 | $187 | 130 | 130 | +0 | Team Spirit | -$13 | 03-22 22:21 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 2 | $175 | 108 | 108 | +0 | No | -$25 | 04-18 09:38 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||