Realized P&L
-$1.61K
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
1,068
Trades
2,741
lifetime
Volume
$67.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$51
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-25 23:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
54% 49% -$2,230
Sports
26% 48% +$835
Politics
20% 41% -$209
Crypto
0% 44% -$5
Tech
0% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No -20 -$15 89¢ $-18 -$2 10-25 23:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$10 11¢ $-11 -$1 05-17 22:30
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -11 -$5 54¢ $-6 $0 10-25 23:10
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +366 $3 1¢ $5 +$2 10-25 01:27
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +28 $1 7¢ $2 +$1 10-24 05:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -2 -$1 76¢ $-1 $0 05-17 22:33
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -99 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 10-25 23:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-17 04:32
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 $0 10-17 04:32
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-11 18:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $0 45¢ $1 +$1 10-20 15:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-21 03:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-18 03:37
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 10-20 15:40
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 32¢ $0 -$1 10-25 23:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1 $2 24¢ $0 -$2 10-25 23:09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes +8 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 04-29 03:15
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $0 14¢ $0 +$0 10-25 23:03
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 +$0 10-25 23:13
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1 -$3 14¢ $0 +$3 10-25 23:13
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +0 $0 66¢ $0 +$0 10-25 23:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 10-25 23:07
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 04-29 03:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 10-25 22:58
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +20 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 05-05 01:49