Deep-Senior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$4.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-14 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 50% +$0

Sports

22% — —

Crypto

9% 100% +$0

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$2.2K	10,465	10,465	+0	open	—	06-11 02:29
NBA: SGA Award Parlay	2	$191	197	197	+0	open	—	05-19 02:31
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	03-08 03:07
Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?	2	$67	110	110	+0	open	—	04-06 14:42
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	03-08 10:11
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	02-25 06:40
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-10 09:20
meta up or down on april 13 2026	2	$60	59	59	+0	open	—	04-12 02:20
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$58	53	53	+0	open	—	04-09 17:17
pltr up or down on april 13 2026	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 02:08
aapl up or down on april 13 2026	3	$56	56	56	+0	open	—	04-12 02:41
nvda up or down on april 13 2026	2	$53	52	52	+0	open	—	04-11 05:54
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$52	38	38	+0	open	—	02-25 13:17
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$52	27	26	+0	open	—	03-05 05:04
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	03-01 08:55
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$50	34	34	+0	open	—	03-08 02:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	6	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 01:50
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	03-08 02:48
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	03-09 05:46
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$36	24	24	+0	open	—	02-16 15:54
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	02-27 11:11
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	6	$30	18	18	-0	open	—	06-10 13:31
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	05-28 14:38
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-08 04:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 14:24
cbb hou utah 2026 02 10	4	$21	15	7	+8	open	—	02-11 02:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$20	6	15	-8	open	—	06-12 03:09
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-22 14:57
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-27 04:08
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-24 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 18:00:31	ucl pls bor 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x3f41e9…
07-14 17:08:43	ucl pls bor 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x94b5d0…
07-14 00:56:07	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x94037e…
06-12 03:09:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3e991f…
06-12 01:40:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xb431be…
06-11 18:13:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb1f280…
06-11 02:29:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10,465	10¢	$1,047	0x3b8dc9…
06-11 02:29:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,465	11¢	$1,151	0x63592e…
06-10 13:31:21	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x222d76…
06-08 10:05:34	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x2347a6…
06-07 10:11:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xb5ee8d…
06-06 21:31:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x70b7b7…
06-06 15:25:57	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xd3ff38…
06-06 14:53:42	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xa13f5f…
06-06 13:25:58	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x350e26…
06-04 23:45:22	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xebd8b7…
06-04 09:35:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0e6eb3…
06-03 20:40:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xa09b6b…
06-03 05:41:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x53ef8c…
06-03 04:13:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x754d46…
05-30 02:18:56	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2c0bfa…
05-29 07:29:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x30edb6…
05-29 07:25:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x082710…
05-29 03:45:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xad9d3e…
05-29 01:34:21	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x93746c…
05-29 01:05:11	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x242603…
05-28 22:23:43	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x2c6ccd…
05-28 15:18:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xf23604…
05-28 15:08:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xd5c0da…
05-28 14:38:30	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x91b7be…
05-28 11:27:36	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x5b62f9…
05-28 03:07:03	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x66180f…
05-27 23:56:39	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x72298b…
05-27 22:19:54	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xcdc279…
05-20 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43ffbb…
05-19 02:31:48	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	Yes	SELL	197	46¢	$91	0xd8ef28…
05-19 02:31:13	NBA: SGA Award Parlay	Yes	BUY	197	51¢	$101	0xe2f611…
05-15 09:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x33c649…
05-11 01:14:33	Spread: CF América (-2.5)	Pumas de la UNAM	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9a25f4…
05-07 08:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5dc309…
05-07 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x29913c…
04-12 02:41:43	aapl up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x1d9aed…
04-12 02:41:41	aapl up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	47	50¢	$23	0x115bf0…
04-12 02:41:35	aapl up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xe46c03…
04-12 02:20:25	meta up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	59	50¢	$30	0x3341db…
04-12 02:20:21	meta up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x65d86b…
04-12 02:08:21	pltr up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x7c42dd…
04-12 02:08:15	pltr up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x1490bb…
04-11 05:54:11	nvda up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	52	51¢	$26	0x4008eb…
04-11 05:54:05	nvda up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	52	51¢	$26	0x7372ae…
04-09 17:17:59	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x853de6…
04-09 17:17:57	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x5f353d…
04-09 17:17:47	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	53	69¢	$37	0xf3e998…
04-06 14:42:33	Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?	Yes	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0xa89767…
04-06 14:42:27	Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?	Yes	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0x4ce992…
04-05 19:38:27	nba uta okc 2026 04 05	Thunder	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x10f5ee…
04-05 12:52:03	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25bd20…
04-02 08:50:09	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce54f4…
03-31 14:12:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa9e4b1…
03-31 11:02:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb9f5bb…
03-30 19:01:01	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde09d9…
03-30 16:50:31	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0959e…
03-28 01:01:43	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Thunder	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x50f9a7…
03-27 20:10:55	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Thunder	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x632d96…
03-27 18:50:21	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cae6d…
03-26 19:38:07	uef den mac 2026 03 26 mac	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x707aef…
03-25 17:50:11	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad39b6…
03-24 23:00:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3f6e80…
03-24 22:45:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85a71e…
03-24 21:37:29	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0xc30d2d…
03-24 17:50:09	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeab658…
03-22 19:53:05	bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaefb66…
03-20 15:56:53	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xd1ffce…
03-20 15:53:29	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb1acdc…
03-20 04:14:13	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xc929f6…
03-19 22:24:41	cbb queen pur 2026 03 20	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5756f6…
03-19 10:50:07	bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc84ce…
03-19 03:50:15	bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbafcb2…
03-18 10:50:57	cs2 fal2 nrg 2026 03 18	Team Falcons	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3b190b…
03-17 07:50:11	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x061291…
03-15 22:50:13	bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3891df…
03-15 02:51:13	bitcoin up or down march 14 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf80119…
03-14 18:40:01	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xcb78de…
03-13 22:50:13	bitcoin up or down march 13 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48e851…
03-13 19:56:43	bitcoin up or down march 13 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7b35e…
03-13 13:50:13	bitcoin up or down march 13 9am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x51eae9…
03-13 00:18:49	cbb flst duke 2026 03 12	Duke Blue Devils	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x9d1c87…
03-12 22:30:05	cbb flst duke 2026 03 12	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xdc45d3…
03-12 20:50:09	bitcoin up or down march 12 4pm et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1dbc02…
03-12 14:50:07	bitcoin up or down march 12 10am et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xde9543…
03-12 02:50:47	bitcoin up or down march 11 10pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7a34ca…
03-11 16:50:23	bitcoin up or down march 11 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b3443…
03-10 21:50:19	bitcoin up or down march 10 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd0a43…
03-10 16:23:41	pltr up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb358c9…
03-10 09:50:23	bitcoin up or down march 10 5am et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6f9947…
03-10 09:20:41	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x58de47…
03-10 08:50:17	bitcoin up or down march 10 4am et	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x59f379…
03-10 04:07:47	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcc855b…
03-09 14:58:15	bitcoin up or down march 9 10am et	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x7b9c38…
03-09 14:55:07	bitcoin up or down march 9 10am et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1d476e…