Dark-Caribou — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

22.5%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$587

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 05-31 14:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% — —

Crypto

21% 12% $-26

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes		+10	$2	21¢	$2	$-0	05-31 14:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+11	$2	20¢	$2	$-0	05-31 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	14	$97	383	0	+383	open	—	05-19 22:26
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	13	$70	292	0	+292	open	—	05-19 22:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$61	37	37	+0	open	—	04-21 13:13
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$40	182	0	+182	open	—	05-19 22:21
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$35	97	0	+97	open	—	05-19 22:09
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$24	185	0	+185	open	—	05-19 22:05
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-19 15:06
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$15	105	0	+105	open	—	03-26 22:14
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	02-18 16:20
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	02-09 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-09 13:28
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	02-27 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 17:04
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$7	54	0	+54	open	—	05-17 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 13:33
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	1	$7	58	0	+58	open	—	04-21 18:16
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	3	$6	87	0	+87	open	—	05-23 19:48
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$6	632	0	+632	open	—	05-19 15:36
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$5	74	0	+74	open	—	04-26 15:44
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-19 22:25
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	01-25 21:51
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	02-06 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$5	35	0	+35	open	—	05-03 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 09:34
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$3	43	0	+43	open	—	02-06 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$3	114	0	+114	open	—	05-03 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$3	57	0	+57	Down	$-3	05-09 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$3	16	0	+16	Down	$-3	05-09 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$3	9	0	+9	Up	+$6	05-09 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$3	8	8	+1	open	—	04-26 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 14:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xff0357…
05-31 14:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe68589…
05-31 14:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x619ba8…
05-31 14:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1d9565…
05-31 14:29:22	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x33114d…
05-31 14:28:59	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0x09e979…
05-23 19:48:36	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x89ea63…
05-23 19:48:09	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xaf5e27…
05-23 19:42:19	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x4de432…
05-23 19:13:02	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0x25fcb1…
05-19 22:26:40	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xecacf1…
05-19 22:26:07	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x828e9a…
05-19 22:25:51	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8bb9e1…
05-19 22:21:30	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc61f08…
05-19 22:21:23	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xdb0a6c…
05-19 22:12:33	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xa9e6b5…
05-19 22:09:24	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xbc8a53…
05-19 22:06:08	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x38d8b2…
05-19 22:05:38	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xe193d6…
05-19 22:04:34	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x867342…
05-19 20:48:07	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xc0d80c…
05-19 19:37:16	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc89304…
05-19 18:45:53	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1a402c…
05-19 18:44:58	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x439137…
05-19 17:14:18	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x013253…
05-19 15:58:07	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x62837f…
05-19 15:38:13	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x1d1d21…
05-19 15:36:47	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	97	2¢	$1	0x0a32b8…
05-19 15:12:47	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x818042…
05-19 15:11:39	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x50599d…
05-19 15:07:20	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x39c968…
05-19 15:06:43	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8ac14b…
05-19 15:00:01	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0xf20091…
05-19 06:49:17	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6e7a68…
05-18 20:33:45	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	17	15¢	$2	0x26a6d3…
05-18 14:15:10	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd7ce6b…
05-18 11:47:31	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5b31e6…
05-18 11:10:36	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xec3e4f…
05-18 10:02:37	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xacae28…
05-18 09:55:47	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd6654b…
05-18 09:48:14	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x95675c…
05-18 09:46:53	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2b87b7…
05-18 09:10:45	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdd3498…
05-18 09:06:59	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xbfc417…
05-18 09:03:21	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x65f21f…
05-18 08:34:47	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf5d1a0…
05-18 08:28:22	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0ddb38…
05-18 08:21:03	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb4f803…
05-18 08:19:09	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd4bd7e…
05-18 08:10:33	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf4c997…
05-18 08:09:27	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x52fea1…
05-17 16:22:59	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$2	0xd840b6…
05-17 16:20:11	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd8303f…
05-17 16:19:50	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x9ae82b…
05-17 16:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd7c8a5…
05-17 14:29:26	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x675f38…
05-17 13:32:43	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$2	0x0ddee0…
05-17 13:26:11	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6c9b83…
05-17 13:25:15	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x646c80…
05-17 13:18:23	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3e3d23…
05-17 13:18:08	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xf38623…
05-17 13:11:29	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x86d5c5…
05-17 13:11:22	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xadfb12…
05-17 13:09:52	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x8f2e9f…
05-17 12:19:35	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x7ac41f…
05-16 15:10:56	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x082ce4…
05-16 15:01:18	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x237bd6…
05-16 14:42:33	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x6af030…
05-16 13:04:22	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x8b4694…
05-14 14:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x26a6f6…
05-14 14:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7acff2…
05-14 14:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe85eff…
05-14 14:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3546cd…
05-14 14:16:11	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0b4c28…
05-14 14:13:33	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x5544b4…
05-14 14:13:07	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe7c77a…
05-14 14:12:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x500fc1…
05-11 07:41:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x34d366…
05-10 14:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x80684d…
05-10 14:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7219d5…
05-10 14:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xace92b…
05-10 14:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5cbb08…
05-10 13:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfcda90…
05-10 13:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4754f2…
05-10 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa3d6d3…
05-10 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfe3afd…
05-10 13:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x67a40e…
05-09 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa424ce…
05-09 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf37fe7…
05-09 13:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x8cf12f…
05-09 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe8a00b…
05-09 13:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3e09e1…
05-09 13:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xceac4a…
05-09 13:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x933649…
05-09 13:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x711c79…
05-09 13:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb7dddf…
05-09 13:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x96b0ca…
05-09 13:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd01757…
05-09 13:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x36cbe9…
05-09 13:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7ca728…