Realized P&L
+$65
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
286
Trades
864
lifetime
Volume
$4.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$121
26 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 11-06 13:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
74% 53% +$16
Politics
16% 58% +$12
Crypto
7% 59% +$38
Sports
3% 33% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $9 24¢ $16 +$7 11-06 00:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 7? Yes +16 $10 79¢ $13 +$3 11-05 23:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +14 $8 76¢ $10 +$2 10-02 05:04
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November? Yes +38 $5 26¢ $10 +$5 11-05 09:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November? Yes +21 $10 40¢ $8 -$2 11-04 20:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +16 $5 43¢ $7 +$2 11-05 02:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of November 2 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 22:56
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 November 2-8? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-05 02:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 11-06 13:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 11-05 20:57
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +19 $5 28¢ $5 +$0 11-05 00:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 $0 11-05 15:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? Yes +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 11-05 12:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +9 $5 54¢ $5 $0 11-05 20:18
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 11-05 05:57
Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 54¢ $3 +$2 11-01 04:19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 2-8? No +6 $5 37¢ $2 -$3 11-05 09:06
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI? No +8 $2 27¢ $2 $0 11-05 20:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 10-31 01:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? Yes +24 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 11-04 17:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 10-08 15:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +8 $5 9¢ $1 -$4 09-20 00:07
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +27 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-20 18:55
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 11-04 17:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +42 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 10-29 22:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 66¢ $0 +$0 09-29 23:03