Naughty-Abolishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$257

Unrealized P&L

-$213

Hit rate

22.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,766 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.50K

$225.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$4.12K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-14 04:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Other

48% 52% +$2,376

Politics

34% 58% -$1,172

Sports

16% 56% -$835

Crypto

2% 50% -$212

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+2,045	$1,700	94¢	$1.9K	+$214	09-20 04:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-1,300	-$1,019	92¢	$-1189	-$171	08-12 20:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+533	$431	86¢	$455	+$24	11-13 18:41
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	+551	$397	72¢	$399	+$3	11-13 19:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+158	$118	75¢	$118	+$0	11-14 04:42
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$33	97¢	$39	+$6	11-04 19:05
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	-220	$281	3¢	$-6	-$288	08-21 03:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	20	$5.4K	2,665	3,965	-1,300	open	—	08-12 20:14
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	11	$4.2K	2,394	2,394	+0	No	+$97	01-18 20:33
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	8	$4.1K	3,210	1,200	+2,010	No	+$341	06-13 17:18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	18	$3.5K	2,416	2,320	+96	No	+$62	01-23 01:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	6	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$70	01-10 03:49
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	24	$3.2K	2,800	1,100	+1,700	No	+$305	09-11 05:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	52	$2.9K	2,350	2,350	+0	No	-$235	05-29 06:19
Iran leadership change by April 30?	18	$2.5K	1,530	1,530	+0	No	+$178	04-23 06:47
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	16	$2.4K	2,005	1,530	+475	Yes	-$288	06-12 03:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	30	$2.4K	1,555	1,555	+0	No	+$261	04-23 19:32
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22 spread home 4pt5	18	$2.1K	2,059	2,060	-1	Connecticut Huskies	+$1	03-22 16:56
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29 spread home 4pt5	20	$2.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	Connecticut Huskies	+$0	03-29 16:53
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	89	$2.1K	1,090	1,870	-780	No	-$254	02-04 21:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$2.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$48	08-06 07:59
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29 spread home 7pt5	11	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$0	03-29 05:30
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	19	$2.0K	1,610	1,045	+565	No	+$156	04-12 16:42
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	22	$2.0K	1,109	1,152	-44	No	+$126	03-20 09:24
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$404	11-12 03:04
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22 total 144pt5	14	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Over	+$10	03-22 20:21
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	43	$1.9K	2,337	500	+1,837	No	+$636	03-16 23:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	56	$1.9K	1,162	1,132	+30	No	-$23	03-01 17:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	16	$1.8K	1,480	1,480	+0	No	-$152	05-26 06:50
will uae strike iran by march 31	26	$1.8K	1,102	998	+104	No	+$41	03-16 17:40
nothing ever happens microstrategy	14	$1.7K	1,131	1,250	-119	No	+$49	02-04 05:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	74	$1.7K	2,045	0	+2,045	open	—	09-20 04:06
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$1.6K	994	844	+150	No	+$17	03-12 21:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$1.6K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	-$41	04-17 16:18
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers	4	$1.5K	2,250	0	+2,250	Detroit Tigers	+$730	04-23 16:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	7	$1.5K	730	1,130	-400	No	-$36	03-17 15:49
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	3	$1.5K	1,450	1,450	+0	Connecticut Huskies	+$0	04-04 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 04:42:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	75¢	$118	0xd33ea8…
11-14 01:44:32	Hawks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x8f7d67…
11-14 01:44:26	Hawks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xd51c6f…
11-13 23:58:31	Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	185	51¢	$94	0xb11d6d…
11-13 19:52:00	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0xa11bb7…
11-13 18:41:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	533	81¢	$431	0x798af1…
11-13 18:21:09	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	251	72¢	$181	0xe6fa99…
11-13 05:02:33	Blues vs. Utah	Utah	SELL	90	49¢	$44	0xe6f852…
11-13 04:52:16	Blues vs. Utah	Utah	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x7efad6…
11-13 03:57:03	Blues vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	320	52¢	$166	0xb3dce6…
11-13 03:28:39	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0x92dfa2…
11-13 03:28:37	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	77	51¢	$39	0xf9f3f9…
11-13 03:28:37	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	125	51¢	$64	0x9ac0c2…
11-13 03:28:00	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd9d95d…
11-13 03:27:58	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3ad8ed…
11-13 00:18:51	Jets vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	190	61¢	$116	0xac1dbf…
11-13 00:17:55	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Wizards	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x91d207…
11-12 20:41:43	Capitals vs. Devils	Capitals	BUY	305	41¢	$125	0x3ecd80…
11-12 20:21:30	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	No	BUY	290	48¢	$139	0x60ee12…
11-12 03:04:15	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	13¢	$78	0x2dc319…
11-12 01:19:55	Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	250	56¢	$140	0x330ab1…
11-12 01:17:37	Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5	Under	SELL	126	25¢	$32	0x7c7f6a…
11-12 01:16:36	Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5	Under	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x9a8e1d…
11-12 01:16:34	Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5	Under	SELL	152	20¢	$30	0x75be9d…
11-12 01:16:34	Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5	Under	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x700d34…
11-12 01:02:15	Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	300	48¢	$144	0xc926f7…
11-12 00:58:24	Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5	Over	SELL	598	44¢	$263	0xea1739…
11-12 00:11:22	Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	252	54¢	$136	0x3ebcaf…
11-12 00:11:16	Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x29db55…
11-12 00:10:48	Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	540	51¢	$275	0x290e7e…
11-11 23:52:34	Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	598	60¢	$359	0xd3879b…
11-10 20:55:55	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0x4c6a6e…
11-10 11:47:43	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	800	87¢	$696	0xbb9cb5…
11-10 05:18:40	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	No	BUY	800	85¢	$680	0x5ac94c…
11-04 19:05:13	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xb55ac4…
10-31 15:53:25	Boston College vs. Duke: O/U 49.5	Under	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xa7b64d…
10-31 00:08:36	Spread: Baylor (-3.5)	UCF	SELL	120	37¢	$44	0x755b72…
10-31 00:06:45	Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x0afe5a…
10-31 00:06:21	Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	91	61¢	$56	0xe21b33…
10-31 00:04:30	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Magic	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x07e878…
10-31 00:04:22	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Magic	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x090ad4…
10-31 00:02:30	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Magic	BUY	99	63¢	$62	0x9f4e3f…
10-30 23:06:43	Spread: Baylor (-3.5)	UCF	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0x7f1e65…
10-30 10:10:07	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	550	70¢	$385	0x0769fe…
10-29 17:50:29	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x68010a…
10-27 15:32:56	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0x051397…
10-25 22:27:30	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	650	60¢	$390	0xff59e4…
10-25 22:26:39	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	253	90¢	$228	0x363925…
10-25 18:25:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x3a82a1…
10-25 18:24:42	Browns vs. Titans	Titans	SELL	215	40¢	$86	0xa1bab0…
10-25 18:10:05	Browns vs. Titans	Titans	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xcd353c…
10-25 18:09:14	Browns vs. Titans	Titans	BUY	115	70¢	$80	0xc18c87…
10-23 23:34:26	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0xd6bfb5…
10-23 23:33:03	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x52604e…
10-23 23:31:47	Mavericks vs. Pacers	Mavericks	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x4a831c…
10-19 09:56:26	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	800	80¢	$640	0x009642…
10-19 02:10:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	650	46¢	$301	0xd82850…
10-18 23:56:06	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	150	49¢	$74	0xcd337f…
10-18 19:36:47	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	550	74¢	$407	0x9d6685…
10-18 15:27:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	66	50¢	$33	0x4e48fe…
10-18 15:26:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	380	50¢	$190	0xaea5cf…
10-18 15:26:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	204	50¢	$102	0x68c5cb…
10-16 22:02:14	Penguins vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0xc5acde…
10-16 21:45:36	nhl pit col 2026 10 16 spread home 1pt5	Avalanche	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0x73b4ff…
10-16 21:45:11	Penguins vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	66	65¢	$43	0x80b927…
10-15 19:58:22	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	No	SELL	330	71¢	$234	0x927d54…
10-15 14:08:58	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	160	54¢	$86	0x486d9d…
10-15 14:07:44	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	62	54¢	$34	0xe9c0ec…
10-15 05:56:22	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	No	BUY	330	74¢	$244	0x56c572…
10-15 02:13:52	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	272	55¢	$150	0x82742a…
10-15 00:45:08	Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	140	63¢	$88	0xe39ee7…
10-14 23:34:55	Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0x45f637…
10-10 15:11:57	Tulane vs. Army	Army	BUY	120	62¢	$74	0xec1d0d…
10-10 15:10:37	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0xb040f7…
10-10 15:07:21	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	90	65¢	$58	0x3dabf9…
10-10 14:58:30	Texas A&M vs. Missouri	Missouri	BUY	128	63¢	$81	0x447a96…
10-07 22:05:40	Penguins vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	420	59¢	$248	0x8d2c7d…
10-04 16:21:25	Chiefs vs. Raiders	Chiefs	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x818fe5…
10-04 16:20:41	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	230	63¢	$145	0x8b133f…
10-04 15:54:29	Jets vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	95	64¢	$61	0x4ddca8…
10-04 15:53:23	Cardinals vs. Giants: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	120	53¢	$64	0xe0884e…
10-03 02:00:38	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0x1cd51b…
10-03 01:59:53	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xeabbcc…
10-03 01:59:53	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xb786ec…
10-03 01:59:53	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x0c6063…
10-03 01:59:42	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xecb0a4…
10-03 01:59:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xf39829…
10-03 01:59:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x62f56a…
10-03 01:59:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xd225eb…
10-03 01:58:59	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xba2a60…
10-03 01:58:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x841c34…
10-03 01:58:56	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb50c0a…
10-03 01:58:56	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x6f0f05…
10-03 01:21:08	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	340	91¢	$309	0x918dcf…
09-27 16:20:12	nfl ne jax 2026 09 27	Jaguars	BUY	180	60¢	$108	0x7a17d6…
09-26 22:52:54	Oregon vs. USC	Oregon	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xa8d824…
09-26 22:45:02	Oregon vs. USC	Oregon	BUY	118	63¢	$74	0xb228df…
09-26 22:23:33	Oregon vs. USC	Oregon	BUY	350	63¢	$220	0xabf56a…
09-26 18:22:15	TCU vs. UCF	TCU	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x6c1ca2…
09-26 15:37:39	Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 53.5	Over	BUY	110	53¢	$58	0xf89497…