Narrow-Secrecy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

799

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-03 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 0% $-11

Other

31% 0% $-1

Sports

9% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	26	$92	214	213	+1	open	—	04-07 11:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$86	106	105	+1	open	—	03-29 19:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	29	$73	111	132	-22	open	—	06-20 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	30	$70	205	205	+0	open	—	06-20 14:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	18	$59	116	115	+1	open	—	04-07 05:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$56	36	35	+1	open	—	04-12 17:22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$54	42	40	+2	open	—	04-16 14:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	13	$52	68	66	+2	open	—	04-17 03:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	15	$48	49	53	-4	open	—	06-13 17:18
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	15	$46	36	36	+0	open	—	06-18 14:07
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	7	$46	42	41	+1	open	—	03-08 07:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	15	$42	173	170	+3	open	—	04-11 02:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$40	46	45	+1	open	—	04-12 04:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$39	91	90	+1	open	—	03-23 17:36
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	11	$37	47	47	+0	open	—	06-20 02:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$36	56	55	+1	open	—	04-11 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$35	31	31	+0	open	—	06-20 14:40
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	12	$34	45	45	+0	open	—	06-17 11:32
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	7	$33	62	0	+62	open	—	04-10 12:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	9	$31	70	55	+15	open	—	04-17 14:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$31	0	36	-36	open	—	06-10 05:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$30	26	25	+1	open	—	04-13 07:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$28	16	15	+1	open	—	03-10 13:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$27	16	15	+1	open	—	03-28 10:42
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$27	16	15	+1	open	—	03-22 04:11
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$26	16	15	+1	open	—	03-15 18:34
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	4	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-13 16:39
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$26	16	15	+1	open	—	04-11 13:46
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$26	26	25	+1	open	—	04-12 07:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$25	26	25	+1	open	—	04-09 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 05:01:02	wta avdeeva akugue 2026 08 03	Noma Noha Akugue	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xa12e18…
07-07 06:46:29	cs2 bmb tlr 2026 07 07	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xac8d42…
06-20 15:01:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$0	0x10b8fe…
06-20 14:58:16	will ukraine re enter kamianske by june 30	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x7c975e…
06-20 14:55:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa2d728…
06-20 14:50:32	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x96ad5f…
06-20 14:49:01	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28	T1	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb05549…
06-20 14:47:35	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xe77bcb…
06-20 14:40:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x41029b…
06-20 14:39:38	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa3dde3…
06-20 14:37:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x524365…
06-20 14:35:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	98	5¢	$5	0x12231e…
06-20 14:31:46	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xd2b197…
06-20 14:26:56	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xd45330…
06-20 14:26:29	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0x921bd9…
06-20 02:33:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xdc5479…
06-20 02:32:58	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x584be8…
06-20 02:32:53	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xb89ace…
06-20 02:32:50	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xb8440a…
06-20 02:32:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xa0542c…
06-20 02:32:44	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xe0bac0…
06-20 02:32:41	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x39e91d…
06-20 02:32:35	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 10pt5	Under	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe42b30…
06-20 02:32:22	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	No	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x2ced96…
06-20 01:01:44	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4699dc…
06-20 00:32:58	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x0335b7…
06-20 00:32:50	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb9507b…
06-19 22:07:49	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x53dabf…
06-19 21:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf4a828…
06-19 21:27:02	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x40b82d…
06-19 20:49:20	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd32bbb…
06-19 20:41:55	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x85faef…
06-19 19:57:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc806d5…
06-19 19:41:31	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xab847f…
06-19 19:33:22	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game1	Vitality	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1726f8…
06-19 19:10:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x02a89e…
06-19 18:46:50	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x62cee6…
06-19 18:46:46	dota2 rnx grind 2026 06 20	REKONIX	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4707fb…
06-19 18:39:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x89f971…
06-19 18:11:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1b9b34…
06-19 16:47:08	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x1d9b4f…
06-19 13:53:40	wta sabalen bartunk 2026 06 19	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x30520b…
06-19 13:46:25	atp zverev collign 2026 06 19	Alexander Zverev	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa43174…
06-19 11:42:19	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x52cfe6…
06-19 09:50:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe49248…
06-19 09:21:49	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x607e63…
06-19 06:44:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x138153…
06-19 05:31:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1df162…
06-19 00:37:02	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x364369…
06-19 00:13:40	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa41207…
06-18 23:58:28	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xec5952…
06-18 21:22:44	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x2ba093…
06-18 20:51:14	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf9af54…
06-18 20:22:50	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x57266b…
06-18 20:05:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x08b346…
06-18 19:39:38	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x56f0b0…
06-18 19:24:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x02deb6…
06-18 19:16:56	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x197f61…
06-18 18:40:35	cs2 furia 9z 2026 06 18	9z	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x360dae…
06-18 18:25:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x48f616…
06-18 18:25:11	cs2 furia 9z 2026 06 18	9z	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x66a43f…
06-18 17:29:22	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc8b757…
06-18 17:13:44	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x811b50…
06-18 16:57:05	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc3a641…
06-18 16:42:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x57cecd…
06-18 16:19:28	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x561afe…
06-18 15:55:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x6cfbe9…
06-18 15:47:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x7529d9…
06-18 15:11:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x6fb751…
06-18 15:03:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfbea38…
06-18 14:16:10	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xe1536c…
06-18 14:07:56	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xf29500…
06-18 14:07:56	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe36931…
06-18 14:07:56	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x7fe929…
06-18 14:07:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x98124c…
06-18 14:07:55	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x6ae014…
06-18 13:42:08	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x94e414…
06-18 11:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x0abafb…
06-18 11:29:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x430cdc…
06-18 11:28:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x4216d9…
06-18 10:09:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3f071f…
06-18 09:37:43	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x924da8…
06-18 08:58:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc6f84c…
06-18 08:10:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbd4629…
06-18 07:31:37	cs2 furia 9z 2026 06 18	9z	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbbabc6…
06-18 07:31:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa61f6f…
06-18 07:15:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x411027…
06-18 06:36:25	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x979785…
06-18 06:27:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x934774…
06-18 05:32:44	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x42f4b0…
06-18 05:17:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3db21c…
06-18 04:12:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb635e4…
06-18 03:58:28	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa09199…
06-17 21:46:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x03f5fb…
06-17 21:29:46	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x2fc495…
06-17 21:06:13	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x0e8f2e…
06-17 20:27:02	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xdd982e…
06-17 20:19:17	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x351f41…
06-17 20:02:50	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x99c8f7…
06-17 17:20:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x54a240…