Complete-Cook-Device — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$358

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

146

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$28.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$1.58K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-28 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

51% 23% -$4

Other

27% 21% +$1,397

Crypto

19% 18% -$327

Sports

3% 43% +$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+5,740	$1,221	28¢	$1.6K	+$358	10-28 18:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	12	$6.3K	6,285	6,285	+0	No	+$1,344	04-15 11:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	5	$3.0K	4,492	4,492	+0	No	-$1,061	04-15 15:19
will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	13	$2.9K	3,161	3,015	+146	No	+$880	04-10 19:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	8	$1.2K	5,740	0	+5,740	open	—	10-28 18:47
solana up or down april 15 2026 11am et	10	$1.1K	2,864	1,392	+1,472	Down	-$911	04-15 15:54
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	1	$1000	2,516	0	+2,516	Over	+$1,516	07-14 23:21
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	9	$995	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$158	04-09 09:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	16	$963	4,211	3,995	+216	Yes	-$207	04-17 14:42
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$877	3,342	3,342	+0	Yes	+$276	03-16 12:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$701	493	493	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 17:26
will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 22	3	$592	1,090	0	+1,090	Yes	-$592	03-16 17:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$572	500	500	+0	Yes	+$282	06-14 21:35
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	5	$569	1,021	1,021	+0	No	+$139	06-11 13:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$552	1,304	1,304	+0	No	-$48	04-09 10:07
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$514	656	656	+0	Yes	+$88	07-06 21:03
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	1	$425	818	0	+818	Yes	+$392	07-14 23:22
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$392	386	386	+0	No	-$8	04-15 20:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	7	$327	1,184	1,184	+0	No	-$198	05-29 14:02
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	3	$323	1,195	0	+1,195	No	-$323	07-14 19:27
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	3	$288	600	600	+0	No	-$12	06-29 18:55
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total away 1pt5	1	$270	562	0	+562	Over	+$292	06-30 09:19
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	2	$269	286	286	+0	Over	+$69	07-01 02:22
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$266	200	200	+0	No	+$58	05-15 14:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	3	$264	200	200	+0	Yes	+$116	06-14 21:35
will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	5	$219	900	848	+52	No	+$63	04-10 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$202	211	211	+0	No	+$93	06-14 21:50
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	2	$197	161	161	+0	Under	+$36	07-12 01:13
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$182	344	344	+0	No	-$16	04-15 15:57
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$171	748	748	+0	No	-$22	06-30 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$140	212	212	+0	No	$0	03-16 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:47:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0x7d22a4…
10-28 18:46:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,190	22¢	$262	0xc48189…
10-28 18:46:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	369	23¢	$85	0x55b2b3…
10-28 18:45:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,284	23¢	$525	0xba2fad…
10-28 18:33:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	18¢	$14	0x061b1b…
10-28 18:32:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,270	18¢	$229	0x0d9bf3…
10-28 18:28:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	237	19¢	$45	0x5e3b7e…
10-28 18:26:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	258	19¢	$49	0x72a4c2…
07-14 23:23:07	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc3be96…
07-14 23:22:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	818	52¢	$425	0x740e8d…
07-14 23:21:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2,516	40¢	$1,000	0x87d692…
07-14 19:27:58	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	839	23¢	$191	0x4c8b13…
07-14 18:22:32	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	168	37¢	$63	0x784922…
07-14 18:21:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	163	43¢	$70	0x25a161…
07-14 18:20:43	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	188	37¢	$70	0x9794b7…
07-12 01:13:04	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	161	72¢	$116	0xa9d574…
07-12 00:44:02	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	161	50¢	$80	0x7a1bfd…
07-06 22:55:08	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	306	45¢	$138	0x39c5ba…
07-06 21:03:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	183	77¢	$141	0xcf3dd4…
07-06 20:20:05	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xefe7e9…
07-06 20:10:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	882	1¢	$7	0xb3c4b6…
07-06 15:22:13	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	130	31¢	$40	0x143ffd…
07-06 15:20:46	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x345166…
07-03 00:17:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	183	34¢	$62	0xfae7bb…
07-02 23:25:49	will the announcers say patience during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644159	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xc88342…
07-02 23:25:34	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	SELL	103	48¢	$50	0x998130…
07-02 21:46:05	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x16bf6d…
07-02 21:40:04	will the announcers say patience during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644159	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x946312…
07-02 21:39:22	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644153	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2dd71d…
07-02 21:39:13	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644153	Yes	BUY	61	30¢	$18	0xa9ee6d…
07-02 21:38:35	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644166	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x04d4e7…
07-01 02:22:52	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	286	59¢	$169	0x0933a3…
06-30 22:11:13	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x79e912…
06-30 09:19:46	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	562	48¢	$270	0x2a3dcf…
06-30 09:17:25	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	748	10¢	$75	0x1d1754…
06-30 09:17:20	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	657	7¢	$46	0x8320a9…
06-30 09:17:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	473	34¢	$160	0x00f9b1…
06-30 00:21:16	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	105	83¢	$87	0x8b451f…
06-29 21:45:29	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,000	3¢	$60	0xbebe8d…
06-29 21:36:11	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$68	0xe92288…
06-29 18:55:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	426	23¢	$98	0xad0acd…
06-29 18:29:34	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	657	6¢	$39	0xcd157b…
06-29 18:06:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	174	23¢	$40	0x685e18…
06-24 09:48:59	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0x8ed4ef…
06-18 11:45:07	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	748	13¢	$97	0xe6f222…
06-15 00:59:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	413	32¢	$132	0x08be27…
06-15 00:59:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0xe6305a…
06-14 21:50:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	70	54¢	$38	0x68ba28…
06-14 21:50:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	211	70¢	$148	0xb6ea80…
06-14 21:35:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	184	97¢	$179	0x607973…
06-14 21:35:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	85¢	$427	0x106111…
06-14 20:15:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0xeca812…
06-11 20:22:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x9d6e83…
06-11 13:55:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xcfdfea…
06-11 13:54:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	180	26¢	$47	0xbffd8c…
06-11 13:53:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0xd22bdb…
06-11 13:39:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	882	2¢	$15	0x316a69…
06-11 13:38:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x23b2c7…
06-11 13:28:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	1,021	35¢	$354	0x2d0995…
06-10 18:25:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	270	26¢	$70	0x501dd4…
06-10 18:23:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xcf19a3…
06-10 18:23:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x739588…
06-10 15:19:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	482	6¢	$29	0x2f84a1…
06-10 15:18:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0x39a079…
06-10 15:17:55	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	600	19¢	$114	0x1314e3…
06-10 13:37:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	140	20¢	$28	0xe4fe4d…
06-10 13:28:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xeaa5d9…
06-10 13:23:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	651	7¢	$46	0x137ef8…
06-10 13:21:45	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xc2b0d5…
06-10 13:20:45	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	350	15¢	$52	0x4fb779…
05-29 15:46:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	15¢	$6	0xb10217…
05-29 15:46:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	113	15¢	$17	0xb1a64c…
05-29 15:45:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x21ca83…
05-29 15:31:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x58599a…
05-29 15:30:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	350	1¢	$4	0xd0b8e5…
05-29 15:30:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x698502…
05-29 15:30:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$1	0xcdca5e…
05-29 15:29:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	Yes	BUY	474	4¢	$19	0x24e3f4…
05-29 15:27:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$32	0xe3ed29…
05-29 14:02:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	249	0¢	$1	0x61936a…
05-29 14:02:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,184	5¢	$64	0xf737f0…
05-26 10:43:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x3e3664…
05-26 09:15:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	242	11¢	$27	0x9192ba…
05-24 06:07:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	339	26¢	$88	0x10c680…
05-24 06:05:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xc74165…
05-24 06:05:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x43b40b…
05-24 06:05:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	249	4¢	$10	0x708f83…
05-24 06:03:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	522	25¢	$131	0x8216a2…
05-19 07:27:59	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7f8fa2…
05-16 15:22:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	Yes	SELL	291	2¢	$6	0x9fd62f…
05-16 15:22:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?	Yes	SELL	449	7¢	$33	0x969e85…
05-16 15:22:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?	Yes	SELL	491	15¢	$74	0xea0e47…
05-15 14:36:07	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	196	81¢	$159	0x9dbbe7…
05-15 08:29:33	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xe2c327…
05-15 08:27:41	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	196	0¢	$0	0x600164…
05-15 08:27:37	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	450	0¢	$0	0x77d9b9…
05-14 10:29:54	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	108	27¢	$29	0xe380df…
05-14 10:16:31	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0x0d67f4…
05-14 10:15:19	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	162	7¢	$12	0x8bc1c2…
05-14 10:13:22	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	196	56¢	$110	0xf2fd2d…