Realized P&L
-$423
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
56.3%
Resolved
385
Trades
495
lifetime
Volume
$2.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$85
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-28 13:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Sports
34% 38% -$27
Other
30% 35% -$200
Politics
24% 26% -$107
Crypto
11% 19% -$81
Tech
0% 25% -$8
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes -1,208 -$39 3¢ $-33 +$6 07-16 23:48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -553 -$28 4¢ $-23 +$6 06-12 11:48
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -299 -$23 6¢ $-18 +$4 06-12 11:48
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -41 -$5 10¢ $-4 +$1 07-17 05:41
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40 -$2 5¢ $-2 +$0 06-12 11:47
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -41 -$2 5¢ $-2 $0 06-12 11:46
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -61 -$1 2¢ $-1 $0 06-20 15:44
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -32 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 06-19 14:03
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -54 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 06-16 06:52