Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
24
Trades
45
lifetime
Volume
$94
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$12
7 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-26 05:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Politics
49% 44% +$15
Other
45% 50% -$10
Crypto
3% 100% +$0
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $0 10-04 07:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3 $2 89¢ $3 +$1 10-15 14:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-26 05:22
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-04 09:32
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +29 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 10-09 06:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +9 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 10-12 07:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +8 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 10-15 04:51