Slight-Resolve — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.2%

Resolved

230

Trades

501

lifetime

Volume

$497

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-01 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

44% 7% -$2

Politics

32% 18% -$1

Crypto

16% 33% -$1

Tech

5% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-03 02:41
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 03:19
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:06
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-22 03:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-17 03:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 07:02
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 02:39
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-13 07:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-21 02:10
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-01 02:09
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 03:16
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 08:02
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 01:52
will alberto di rubba win the 2026 rovigo by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 02:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 01:53
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:07
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 01:47
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-24 01:56
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:58
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:30
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-31 03:11
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-21 01:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:50
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-27 02:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-07 04:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-16 01:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 03:08
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	07-18 03:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:11:48	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x85a8ff…
08-01 07:01:57	will squid launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x24ab4a…
08-01 06:55:00	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x422adc…
08-01 06:47:47	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xff5f87…
07-31 03:24:50	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc3db4f…
07-31 03:22:08	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78e1a3…
07-31 03:11:59	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb0de57…
07-31 02:58:57	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x18a3ec…
07-30 06:06:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x739742…
07-30 04:13:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfb72b5…
07-30 03:41:27	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x541c9d…
07-30 03:05:38	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd88907…
07-29 04:48:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x87227c…
07-29 04:30:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc25d57…
07-29 04:24:27	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5833af…
07-29 04:16:17	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x763e84…
07-28 04:13:54	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcaae72…
07-28 03:35:03	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa7df8e…
07-28 03:31:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ad323…
07-28 03:22:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf15b6c…
07-27 02:52:55	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x295009…
07-27 02:42:30	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x66b693…
07-27 02:39:22	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3da299…
07-27 02:31:42	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6cf4f4…
07-25 04:22:03	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x87a18c…
07-25 04:08:57	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723225144067	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x38e575…
07-25 03:50:57	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa61bc7…
07-25 03:36:42	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 90 or higher 20260723190142929	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd2d577…
07-24 04:01:52	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1ba548…
07-24 03:50:24	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ef0fe…
07-24 03:41:03	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x282d22…
07-24 03:21:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa1aa39…
07-23 03:12:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x09e127…
07-23 03:04:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8d4a68…
07-23 03:01:52	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b2a2f…
07-23 02:57:00	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06272c…
07-22 03:10:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc15c81…
07-22 03:03:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd287a7…
07-22 02:57:55	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x502464…
07-22 02:49:25	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f8f1e…
07-21 02:58:12	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8e74d3…
07-21 02:52:12	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x921a69…
07-21 02:47:54	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x36a53c…
07-21 02:35:55	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe6c7f7…
07-20 04:54:21	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x549d01…
07-20 04:38:13	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xff4dc4…
07-20 04:33:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x340882…
07-20 04:20:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x160535…
07-18 04:34:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2acea0…
07-18 04:24:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdffc82…
07-18 04:00:31	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xa6b670…
07-18 03:52:25	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcec7ea…
07-18 03:45:45	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x62fed5…
07-18 03:22:39	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x013063…
07-17 03:10:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd0e808…
07-17 02:57:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea28cb…
07-17 02:51:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x38a095…
07-17 02:44:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6868c7…
07-16 02:59:28	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf0b1e5…
07-16 02:40:25	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x37cfe7…
07-16 02:37:07	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xba239b…
07-16 02:30:16	Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf8f54e…
07-15 02:52:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc158a3…
07-15 02:44:58	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f9871…
07-15 02:39:01	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x95f78c…
07-15 02:28:19	over 95m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x76626a…
07-14 03:57:55	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9e26b7…
07-14 03:53:32	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb93f9d…
07-14 03:49:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2e24b0…
07-14 03:29:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e9212…
07-13 03:38:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe5b388…
07-13 03:27:53	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfbf772…
07-13 03:25:26	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x38dca3…
07-13 03:15:41	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2afcb3…
07-11 03:08:25	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb4e58f…
07-11 03:01:25	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x009f25…
07-11 02:55:17	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x23dddb…
07-11 02:47:22	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb52b7a…
07-10 03:36:02	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x068f75…
07-10 03:13:07	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbc179c…
07-10 03:08:56	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe17410…
07-10 03:07:11	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x15de54…
07-09 03:11:40	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6c97a3…
07-09 02:48:02	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00ab89…
07-09 02:46:02	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc421ac…
07-09 02:38:40	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xef2a62…
07-08 03:20:14	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6aa95f…
07-08 03:15:23	Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1f30e7…
07-08 03:10:04	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9212c4…
07-08 02:35:25	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4bafa2…
07-07 03:51:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x155e0b…
07-07 03:30:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x640ca2…
07-07 03:23:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2bfa08…
07-07 03:14:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2905e8…
07-06 03:09:13	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9e5868…
07-06 02:59:22	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb5a536…
07-06 02:56:14	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb8f77e…
07-06 02:47:14	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad7e00…
07-04 02:54:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcc6590…
07-04 02:36:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1f9923…