Glass-Butterfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

130 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$221 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 07-05 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

95% 31% -$4

Sports

4% 33% -$3

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 6?	2	$21	28	28	+0	Yes	-$19	05-05 21:47
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 6?	3	$13	18	18	+0	No	-$1	05-05 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?	1	$13	17	0	+17	No	+$5	04-25 04:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 15c	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	04-21 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	2	$8	14	14	+0	No	-$2	05-08 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$6	24	0	+24	Yes	+$18	04-27 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 28?	1	$6	22	0	+22	No	-$6	04-27 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?	2	$5	15	15	+1	No	-$5	04-29 08:23
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	1	$5	21	0	+21	Yes	+$16	04-04 13:53
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	04-04 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	-$5	05-09 03:21
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$3	11	0	+11	No	-$3	04-05 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?	1	$3	54	0	+54	Yes	-$3	04-25 05:59
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 6?	1	$3	9	0	+9	No	-$3	05-04 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?	2	$3	18	0	+18	Yes	-$3	05-05 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	3	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	05-16 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	3	$3	4	4	+0	No	+$1	05-16 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	+$6	04-30 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 27?	1	$2	54	0	+54	No	-$2	04-25 09:10
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 16c	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	04-21 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 28?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	04-26 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-01 13:31
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	$0	06-15 13:26
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-15 13:26
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	06-15 13:26
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$2	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	06-15 03:57
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	$0	06-15 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-17 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?	2	$2	12	12	+0	No	$0	05-17 15:17
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	2	$1	6	6	+0	No	-$1	06-14 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 15:18:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5cd3d2…
07-05 15:18:01	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8ec5ee…
07-05 15:17:31	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x52b5f1…
07-05 15:17:23	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6ff81b…
06-15 13:26:45	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x522940…
06-15 13:26:36	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xbc44f8…
06-15 13:26:10	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xf247df…
06-15 13:26:06	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb14b59…
06-15 03:57:07	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x14e47f…
06-14 02:34:13	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xde6cab…
06-14 02:33:58	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb55b0b…
06-14 02:33:18	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xff01a7…
06-14 02:32:51	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5c94ff…
06-14 02:32:37	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6e806f…
06-14 02:32:25	Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4705f1…
06-14 02:32:18	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x896088…
06-14 02:32:00	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa7878f…
06-14 02:31:55	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x07ca3e…
06-14 02:31:30	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeabac8…
06-14 02:31:13	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xba1a92…
06-14 02:30:57	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7bcc8d…
06-14 02:30:48	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa62a2c…
06-14 02:30:45	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6211db…
06-14 02:30:22	Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x984f0a…
06-14 02:30:15	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf927e4…
06-14 02:30:07	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x100c29…
06-14 02:29:57	Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6634e5…
06-14 02:29:37	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3475ce…
06-14 02:28:48	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x00c6db…
06-13 10:56:39	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdf5872…
06-13 10:55:16	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6484c6…
06-13 10:55:01	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf794e5…
06-12 04:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfc513b…
06-12 04:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xeab0bf…
06-12 04:13:52	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x416d2a…
06-12 00:05:22	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc97c8c…
06-11 04:44:48	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x63edec…
06-11 04:37:36	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbaa8b9…
05-17 15:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 19?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2ed0b1…
05-17 15:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa34574…
05-17 15:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xc69e4c…
05-17 15:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x95d335…
05-16 04:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb72b05…
05-16 04:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x5de81b…
05-16 04:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6fc183…
05-16 03:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x2065e3…
05-16 03:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xb7a6e7…
05-16 02:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4798a1…
05-16 02:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xf6f664…
05-16 02:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x93fe37…
05-15 09:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb95255…
05-15 03:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x24c1ac…
05-15 03:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4ef464…
05-15 03:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbcb6c0…
05-14 09:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd069d1…
05-14 09:48:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xce8525…
05-13 02:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4da95d…
05-13 02:27:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 14?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3f4a66…
05-10 11:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5a3f93…
05-10 11:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdad570…
05-09 09:42:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x46d1a6…
05-09 03:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x556efa…
05-08 05:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xba1c8f…
05-08 04:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8e2f69…
05-08 04:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xc89a8c…
05-08 04:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xac5459…
05-08 04:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe28dd6…
05-08 04:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x84dcac…
05-08 03:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf9ad2f…
05-05 21:47:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 6?	No	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x50a052…
05-05 08:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x887186…
05-05 08:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9c8c5e…
05-05 05:58:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 6?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x4fe46f…
05-05 05:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbb6557…
05-05 05:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x0e15e2…
05-05 05:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0x5bc674…
05-05 05:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0ef897…
05-05 05:28:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb01a92…
05-05 05:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x6659a9…
05-04 14:44:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xb8ae5a…
05-04 14:32:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x9f1ddc…
05-04 11:07:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x05823f…
05-03 07:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0e00fd…
05-03 07:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6a7850…
05-03 03:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1bf8cc…
05-01 13:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x707c93…
05-01 09:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 2?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xce0aee…
04-30 06:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa1c2bf…
04-29 08:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe2d586…
04-29 08:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa2724e…
04-29 08:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x9d1e90…
04-27 15:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9d35d0…
04-27 15:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xed1cfb…
04-27 15:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x977b5a…
04-27 15:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x44d75d…
04-27 15:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x2cfc20…
04-26 19:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc6d6c0…
04-26 10:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x58f4ae…
04-26 10:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x0d955a…
04-26 01:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	270	0¢	$1	0x124b12…