Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$1,368
$2,944 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$3,326
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 15:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $610 | — | +$610 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $546 | $2 | +$544 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $563 | — | +$563 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $50 | — | +$50 |
| Median | 7 | $402 | — | +$402 |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $77 | — | +$77 |
| unranked | 2 | $61 | — | +$61 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | +570 | $563 | $563 | 4 | 05-11 05:28 |
| Humongous-Cabana 0xbbd2…066a | Yes | +95 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-10 22:40 |
| Shiny-Rainbow 0x04a2…466a | Yes | +53 | $48 | $464 | 3 | 05-11 15:58 |
| Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-11 03:59 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | +48 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-10 23:07 |
| Eager-Dirt 0x7cdf…9d97 | Yes | +42 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-11 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | No | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:30 |
| Odd-Scenery 0xd1fc…d98a | Yes | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 05:13 |
| Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | +30 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-10 21:26 |
| Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-11 01:18 |
| Musty-Nun 0x54e6…5920 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 22:45 |
| Frightened-Fill 0xbbdf…cfd5 | No | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:26 |
| Noted-Mechanic 0x1828…6946 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 12:27 |
| Exalted-Sense 0x3fd6…1733 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 22:27 |
| Wretched-Eyrie-Delivery 0xf86c…9074 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 00:03 |
| Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:42 |
| Lasting-Obsession 0xb69f…f22d | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 15:58:34 | Shiny-Rainbow 0x04a2…466a | Yes | SELL | 209 | 100¢ | $208 | 0xc50866… |
| 05-11 11:43:14 | Eager-Dirt 0x7cdf…9d97 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0xd969df… |
| 05-11 05:28:35 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 249 | 99¢ | $247 | 0x7dce6e… |
| 05-11 05:28:16 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 161 | 99¢ | $159 | 0x677936… |
| 05-11 05:28:06 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x02371f… |
| 05-11 05:27:48 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 98¢ | $128 | 0x5b874a… |
| 05-11 05:13:36 | Odd-Scenery 0xd1fc…d98a | Yes | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xb44b9c… |
| 05-11 04:48:26 | Large-Octet 0xf0ac…80c0 | No | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x561629… |
| 05-11 04:38:59 | Lasting-Obsession 0xb69f…f22d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x14c030… |
| 05-11 03:59:06 | Empty-Monitoring 0x2546…5155 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x9714b7… |
| 05-11 01:18:57 | Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0xbd0714… |
| 05-11 00:03:11 | Wretched-Eyrie-Delivery 0xf86c…9074 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x507a1e… |
| 05-10 23:30:38 | (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | No | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x23681f… |
| 05-10 23:07:07 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x7b1516… |
| 05-10 22:57:09 | Shiny-Rainbow 0x04a2…466a | Yes | BUY | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x26b813… |
| 05-10 22:56:09 | Shiny-Rainbow 0x04a2…466a | Yes | BUY | 204 | 98¢ | $200 | 0xe047d6… |
| 05-10 22:45:57 | Musty-Nun 0x54e6…5920 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xae20b4… |
| 05-10 22:40:50 | Humongous-Cabana 0xbbd2…066a | Yes | BUY | 95 | 96¢ | $91 | 0x3b166e… |
| 05-10 22:27:24 | Exalted-Sense 0x3fd6…1733 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd33fbf… |
| 05-10 22:26:52 | Frightened-Fill 0xbbdf…cfd5 | No | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x95b040… |
| 05-10 21:26:14 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x3d8f0e… |
| 05-10 20:36:49 | Boring-Dissonance 0xecc6…b97a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x3fdae4… |
| 05-10 12:27:33 | Noted-Mechanic 0x1828…6946 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x785426… |
| 05-10 11:42:07 | Barren-Inverse 0x73a8…a8b7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x5b1adc… |
| 05-10 03:41:39 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | SELL | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xfaf5fe… |