Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$663

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$306.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.22K

Open exposure

$61.6K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

60% 50% -$28,795

Other

24% 0% -$14,922

Crypto

12% 100% +$17,573

Sports

5% 57% -$3,054

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+35,951	$34,190	97¢	$34.8K	+$592	10-19 03:04
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	+11,422	$10,762	98¢	$11.2K	+$471	10-07 02:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+11,000	$10,230	92¢	$10.2K	-$55	10-29 17:46
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	+4,790	$4,468	97¢	$4.7K	+$183	10-08 01:51
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+25,683	$545	2¢	$424	-$121	10-19 03:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-3,235	-$171	4¢	$-134	+$36	06-01 14:32
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+16,617	$126	1¢	$108	-$18	08-08 06:02
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	+734	$481	8¢	$59	-$422	06-01 23:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+30	$23	68¢	$20	-$3	09-20 01:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$63.5K	37,800	37,800	+0	open	—	10-16 11:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$36.9K	60,608	60,608	+0	No	+$17,573	06-03 06:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	5	$34.2K	35,951	0	+35,951	open	—	10-19 03:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$25.0K	26,263	0	+26,263	Yes	-$24,955	05-01 15:28
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	7	$23.8K	13,324	13,324	-0	open	—	08-23 01:11
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	18	$23.8K	29,533	0	+29,533	Yes	+$5,720	09-20 07:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	11	$15.9K	15,835	875	+14,960	No	+$439	04-26 00:58
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	8	$10.8K	11,422	0	+11,422	open	—	10-07 02:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	24	$10.2K	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	10-29 17:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10.0K	10,989	0	+10,989	Yes	-$10,000	04-09 13:00
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	18	$9.9K	11,181	0	+11,181	Yes	-$9,871	01-03 06:46
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$9.1K	0	9,156	-9,156	No	-$37	01-01 09:17
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$5.0K	7,353	0	+7,353	Max Holloway	+$2,353	07-10 10:03
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$4.9K	7,550	0	+7,550	No	-$4,891	06-03 10:54
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	18	$4.8K	6,525	1,736	+4,790	open	—	10-08 01:51
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	54	$3.4K	2,357	2,357	+0	open	—	10-02 23:51
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	5	$3.3K	1,790	1,790	+0	open	—	08-27 09:03
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	4	$2.1K	2,261	2,261	+0	Yes	-$1,978	01-03 06:28
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	1	$2.0K	3,732	0	+3,732	Alcaraz	-$1,999	02-01 09:26
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	8	$1.8K	1,916	1,181	+734	open	—	06-01 23:11
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$975	1,805	0	+1,805	Argentina	-$975	07-15 08:31
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)	1	$757	1,262	0	+1,262	Knicks	-$757	05-19 23:59
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$743	762	0	+762	No	+$18	05-01 23:59
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$739	0	44,402	-44,402	No	+$739	05-01 15:31
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$558	34,554	0	+34,554	No	-$558	04-10 22:32
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	12	$545	25,683	0	+25,683	open	—	10-19 03:05
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by december 31 696 746 327 188	1	$455	0	456	-456	No	-$1	01-01 02:41
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$415	458	0	+458	No	+$43	08-23 01:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$171	0	3,235	-3,235	open	—	06-01 14:32
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	10	$126	16,617	0	+16,617	open	—	08-08 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:46:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,076	93¢	$2,861	0x09d681…
10-29 17:37:17	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xba24b0…
10-29 17:36:35	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa78cc4…
10-29 17:28:53	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x98b781…
10-29 17:28:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x622615…
10-29 17:20:53	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa7cdc9…
10-29 17:17:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xabac19…
10-29 17:17:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcef6ac…
10-29 17:17:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0x17657f…
10-29 17:17:25	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xe5e458…
10-29 16:26:05	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	557	93¢	$518	0x61e388…
10-29 15:30:17	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x93ded8…
10-29 14:50:11	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8fe267…
10-29 14:49:59	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xab8927…
10-29 14:46:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	208	93¢	$193	0x1bfbd8…
10-29 11:32:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x24148c…
10-29 11:28:25	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x744e8e…
10-29 11:27:58	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x0a4824…
10-29 11:27:55	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xaa9711…
10-29 11:27:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x25f6ab…
10-29 11:27:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x0be34f…
10-29 11:27:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x77ec9d…
10-29 11:27:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xcdd53d…
10-29 11:27:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,901	93¢	$4,558	0x3ecd27…
10-19 03:05:41	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,297	2¢	$27	0xc47ca5…
10-19 03:05:30	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	757	2¢	$15	0x2c78ef…
10-19 03:05:23	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	830	2¢	$16	0x4d5d90…
10-19 03:05:17	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,601	2¢	$29	0x44896b…
10-19 03:04:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	12,742	95¢	$12,156	0x71fb34…
10-19 03:00:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	231	95¢	$220	0x2b3c5c…
10-16 11:42:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	21,263	84¢	$17,861	0x0e13d9…
10-16 11:40:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12,000	84¢	$10,080	0x0cfc54…
10-16 11:38:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xc41c34…
10-08 01:51:07	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x506b7c…
10-08 01:23:53	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xe511e8…
10-08 01:23:46	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd9d05f…
10-08 01:23:38	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	132	92¢	$121	0x88592e…
10-08 01:12:07	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	302	92¢	$278	0x84dc32…
10-08 01:11:56	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xfcd173…
10-08 01:07:47	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	SELL	1,736	8¢	$139	0x981cfb…
10-08 01:07:34	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	BUY	1,460	11¢	$161	0x72b0fd…
10-08 01:07:26	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	BUY	276	10¢	$28	0xd0486e…
10-07 05:26:54	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	810	93¢	$753	0x10f095…
10-07 04:56:32	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	1,140	93¢	$1,061	0x9f7c62…
10-07 02:33:48	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xfaf6dc…
10-07 02:27:48	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	No	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0xaa8467…
10-07 01:48:50	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x1e2b7c…
10-07 01:44:51	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	514	94¢	$484	0x237d0d…
10-07 01:43:12	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	749	94¢	$704	0xab630f…
10-07 01:42:48	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9e11d3…
10-07 01:42:41	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	695	94¢	$653	0xf07856…
10-07 01:42:32	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	No	BUY	209	93¢	$195	0xe27d42…
10-06 23:51:17	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,668	2¢	$61	0xf060bf…
10-05 02:53:44	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,320	2¢	$30	0x7b718b…
10-04 02:28:13	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4,561	2¢	$109	0xac0ad5…
10-04 02:28:02	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	702	2¢	$16	0xbaf333…
10-04 02:27:46	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$13	0x640800…
10-04 02:27:38	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	717	2¢	$15	0x01ce38…
10-04 02:27:32	Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,697	2¢	$54	0x559c04…
10-04 01:59:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7,500	84¢	$6,300	0x843802…
10-02 23:51:42	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x079926…
10-02 20:41:23	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x167434…
10-02 18:02:33	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x672846…
10-02 11:54:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xb8f584…
10-02 11:54:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4,435	85¢	$3,770	0x64ab43…
10-01 23:25:39	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	591	71¢	$420	0xba9eff…
10-01 23:22:56	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	116	71¢	$82	0x8813ca…
10-01 23:11:06	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0x616115…
10-01 23:08:17	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	56	71¢	$40	0x3c4e4e…
10-01 23:08:15	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x89859e…
10-01 23:08:02	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x30d5e9…
10-01 23:08:00	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x06337a…
10-01 23:07:44	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xa8ecde…
10-01 23:07:44	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x85b321…
10-01 23:07:11	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0x0ff189…
10-01 23:07:09	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x76bde8…
10-01 23:06:53	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	71	71¢	$50	0x17ed30…
10-01 23:06:51	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x0d3bcf…
10-01 23:06:50	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xebd769…
10-01 23:04:17	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x2a1249…
10-01 23:03:06	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xb2de06…
10-01 18:17:20	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	203	71¢	$144	0xc3ecd6…
10-01 10:51:21	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xab3618…
10-01 05:32:11	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x051c18…
09-30 03:47:09	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0xa55e1f…
09-29 06:35:00	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	180	71¢	$128	0x92cd24…
09-27 05:54:53	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x444dfa…
09-27 05:54:48	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xf9efeb…
09-27 03:45:11	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x63b596…
09-27 03:37:53	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x636247…
09-27 03:37:50	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x27890f…
09-27 03:37:48	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x71bc86…
09-27 03:37:45	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xa29122…
09-27 03:37:41	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xe7d421…
09-27 03:37:39	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x3463da…
09-27 03:37:38	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x7538f1…
09-27 02:57:26	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x14ceba…
09-27 01:35:02	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc95dd6…
09-26 23:34:42	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x42d412…
09-26 23:34:39	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x96db21…