Realized P&L
-$162.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$57.8K
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
69
Trades
3,863
lifetime
Volume
$1.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$355
Open exposure
$51.5K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 10-25 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Politics
58% 65% +$4,873
Other
42% 57% -$167,453
Crypto
0% 50% +$294
Sports
0% 0% -$331
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -216,826 -$1,933 18¢ $-40113 -$38,180 09-11 12:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +233,609 $22,884 3¢ $6.3K -$16,576 08-07 22:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +52,363 $9,081 6¢ $2.9K -$6,201 10-21 05:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -39,113 -$4,957 6¢ $-2151 +$2,805 06-24 03:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,963 -$124 4¢ $79 +$204 10-09 06:08
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in october 2026 Yes +238 $43 1¢ $3 -$39 10-14 11:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $159 88¢ $2 -$157 08-04 00:05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 10-09 03:24
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-13 11:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 $0 10-12 01:32
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $19 80¢ $1 -$18 10-24 23:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1 -$15 64¢ $1 +$16 10-24 23:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 05-08 00:09
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 Yes +2 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 08-04 00:05
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +2 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 08-04 00:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 -$367 94¢ $0 +$367 10-10 01:05