Taut-Grocery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$654

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-30 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$0

Crypto

24% 100% +$1

Politics

17% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$93	93	0	+93	open	—	06-02 15:40
Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-09 17:14
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:47
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	05-16 22:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$36	38	0	+38	open	—	05-19 22:10
will googl reach 390 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-28 14:50
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-01 00:49
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	04-14 02:07
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-26 17:21
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	06-28 20:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	05-15 04:48
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-12 14:16
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	06-29 14:41
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-29 05:00
gc settle 4475 4600 jan 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-26 12:03
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-20 04:55
will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-25 19:24
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 16:31
si above 120 jan 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-07 20:25
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-12 19:18
Will Solana reach $150 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-07 20:12
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-10 17:11
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-17 07:29
googl above 260 on january 30 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-11 19:27
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-13 14:45
meta above 760 on february 27 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-20 16:57
will bnb reach 800 in march	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-31 10:32
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-20 13:04
will chainlink reach 18 in march	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-30 00:50
will zai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-23 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 11:23:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3a8f0e…
06-29 14:41:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x432fcd…
06-29 05:00:05	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe6e621…
06-28 20:29:37	Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa8b603…
06-28 14:50:47	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x68df6e…
06-02 15:40:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x597ce8…
05-29 08:26:40	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa303fc…
05-26 17:21:18	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3cf7a4…
05-19 22:10:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xa71447…
05-16 22:16:14	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x7f7def…
05-15 04:48:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xbe8711…
05-12 14:16:26	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd98b67…
05-10 21:01:56	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc32f81…
05-10 20:27:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd3aac4…
05-09 17:14:57	Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x14c89b…
05-09 07:44:42	Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe47b77…
05-08 14:33:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbaf50f…
05-07 20:12:01	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x104a10…
05-07 17:25:04	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe62650…
05-05 18:47:40	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x70a2bf…
04-29 09:38:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fccd3…
04-28 16:31:48	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3df03b…
04-26 01:19:46	Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76c925…
04-20 08:55:06	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7414d…
04-20 04:55:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6833c1…
04-19 18:40:50	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee55fd…
04-18 13:09:06	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x724771…
04-18 12:24:08	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8a93e1…
04-17 20:33:42	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb348e…
04-17 13:37:46	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1870c4…
04-16 22:38:16	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0d5699…
04-15 01:13:38	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5240c6…
04-14 02:07:13	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2b01f4…
04-13 12:30:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xda5c4c…
04-12 22:52:31	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x809dd2…
04-12 21:38:03	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x72ab08…
04-12 14:32:35	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x60005a…
04-11 06:53:23	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9865bc…
04-10 10:42:21	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9841a…
04-10 10:17:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xe1597c…
04-08 17:11:31	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3d530d…
04-08 12:23:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x11574f…
04-07 10:51:15	Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb1c1c…
04-07 04:47:13	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd25936…
04-06 12:56:45	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf6864a…
04-06 03:51:59	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8aef63…
04-05 23:21:33	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0572a3…
04-01 00:49:05	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcc62b3…
03-31 10:32:23	will bnb reach 800 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xce3164…
03-30 19:07:23	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbdd1e…
03-30 00:50:44	will chainlink reach 18 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9897c6…
03-27 01:36:45	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xe574da…
03-25 21:02:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf1336…
03-25 20:09:13	amzn above 190 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5be3e1…
03-25 19:47:59	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c7eb8…
03-25 19:24:13	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3648e1…
03-24 21:22:07	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x78ae29…
03-24 14:04:33	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb9fd7f…
03-24 08:32:21	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x50cbd7…
03-23 08:59:39	will chainlink reach 18 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x991b01…
03-23 08:37:25	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x2b9ddd…
03-22 19:15:45	nvda above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc35266…
03-21 14:56:15	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcabc11…
03-21 09:13:25	nvda above 220 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd944f6…
03-12 19:26:37	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb65e82…
03-12 12:52:57	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4db19e…
03-11 22:18:19	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f9723…
03-11 16:16:43	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd16ee…
03-11 01:58:03	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58a8ac…
03-10 21:31:17	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x098dbc…
03-10 17:45:21	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x240c92…
03-10 03:43:37	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79b855…
03-09 13:08:23	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x226599…
03-09 11:41:47	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c8ed0…
03-08 10:00:43	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x875a5b…
03-06 19:50:05	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x735abf…
03-06 05:20:39	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4dcee6…
03-06 04:11:13	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc51dd7…
03-05 16:11:01	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cc3ff…
03-05 00:41:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2cae36…
03-04 15:56:55	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe49d32…
03-04 04:34:29	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x355e4f…
02-24 10:14:04	will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x894fa3…
02-23 23:54:34	tsla above 480 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52bad8…
02-23 17:10:28	googl above 350 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdeaf7d…
02-23 16:35:12	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2830c0…
02-23 07:46:14	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c9799…
02-23 02:57:08	nflx above 20 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3036ec…
02-22 01:08:30	meta above 820 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7005f0…
02-21 01:16:24	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x675a79…
02-20 22:40:52	googl above 280 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc0bf34…
02-20 16:57:00	meta above 760 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeb41cc…
02-20 13:04:18	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe3c83c…
02-10 15:13:11	meta above 840 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe27a5…
01-26 12:03:45	gc settle 4475 4600 jan 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4ab2e6…
01-23 12:27:46	gc hit 4900 high jan 2026 789 841 274 624	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc0b1e…
01-22 14:40:12	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x883886…
01-21 07:50:28	aapl above 310 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0275b6…
01-20 14:43:42	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7b69e7…
01-17 07:29:22	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ffc8c…