Dishonest-Solicitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$261

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

1,076

Trades

2,023

lifetime

Volume

$8.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-13 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

34% 54% -$99

Other

33% 41% -$104

Sports

17% 48% -$1

Politics

14% 39% -$56

Tech

0% 33% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	-4	-$3	97¢	$-4	-$1	06-13 11:42
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	06-13 11:41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	06-13 11:41
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-2	-$1	98¢	$-2	$0	06-13 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 10:25 UTC	2	$152	80	80	+0	Up	+$6	03-18 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:50 UTC	4	$146	85	85	+0	Down	-$3	03-15 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 10:45 UTC	3	$143	122	100	+22	Up	+$7	03-18 10:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:25 UTC	2	$103	67	66	+1	Up	+$29	03-12 04:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC	4	$99	99	98	+1	Up	-$12	03-15 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 09:20 UTC	7	$93	65	64	+1	Up	-$7	03-12 09:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:15 UTC	4	$82	123	121	+1	Up	+$4	03-18 12:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:15 UTC	2	$72	41	41	+0	Down	+$7	03-12 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 09:10 UTC	2	$72	52	51	+1	Down	+$0	03-12 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 13:30 UTC	4	$61	59	59	+1	Down	+$3	03-18 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 18:45 UTC	2	$61	40	39	+1	Down	+$17	03-15 18:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 03:50 UTC	2	$60	31	31	+0	Up	+$2	03-16 03:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 17:30 UTC	1	$58	109	0	+109	Down	-$58	03-20 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 09:25 UTC	2	$57	34	34	+0	Up	+$10	03-12 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:05 UTC	2	$55	34	34	+0	Up	+$10	03-12 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:05 UTC	2	$54	44	43	+1	Down	+$5	03-15 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:15 UTC	2	$53	32	32	+0	Down	+$11	03-11 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:25 UTC	2	$50	34	34	+0	Up	-$4	03-12 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 03:00 UTC	2	$50	28	27	+0	Up	+$4	03-16 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 17:30 UTC	6	$48	43	42	+1	Up	+$8	03-15 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:10 UTC	1	$48	55	0	+55	Up	-$48	03-16 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 10:15 UTC	3	$45	125	25	+100	Down	-$4	03-18 10:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 04:00 UTC	2	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	03-12 04:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 13:40 UTC	2	$43	32	31	+1	Down	+$12	03-12 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 03:50 UTC	2	$39	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	03-12 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:10 UTC	2	$38	21	21	+0	Up	+$4	03-11 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 08:30 UTC	2	$36	38	38	+0	Up	+$16	03-17 08:41
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 18:00 UTC	2	$33	21	20	+1	Up	+$7	04-07 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:00 UTC	3	$33	64	48	+17	Down	+$3	06-13 12:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:00 UTC	4	$31	33	32	+1	Up	-$1	03-16 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 12:05:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe1125c…
06-13 12:03:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xedecbe…
06-13 12:02:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	48	38¢	$18	0x8fd999…
06-13 12:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xe5780d…
06-13 11:57:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8fdbdc…
06-13 11:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xacc3b3…
06-13 11:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x856b85…
06-13 11:51:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x99e70d…
06-13 11:48:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x4bbbcc…
06-13 11:47:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1a459d…
06-13 11:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x35f989…
06-13 11:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x9fa72c…
06-13 11:42:06	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x15fed8…
06-13 11:42:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x77801d…
06-13 11:41:54	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6073a5…
06-13 11:41:46	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xae68bc…
06-13 11:41:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xcd7195…
06-13 11:41:34	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x66aecf…
06-13 11:41:25	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3290cf…
06-13 11:41:15	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 9 15	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xad6b82…
06-11 12:24:24	wti closes above 90 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4b96e1…
06-10 21:46:18	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x8e4c98…
06-10 20:49:00	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x77ae99…
06-10 20:42:21	wti closes above 92 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	107	0¢	$1	0xf0dabc…
06-10 20:41:25	wti closes above 92 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x05ddb0…
06-10 20:38:42	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x823072…
06-10 20:07:48	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x52f6e5…
06-10 19:52:30	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xa074fb…
06-10 12:53:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3e0913…
06-10 12:21:34	will wti reach 110 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x38e13c…
06-09 17:02:27	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7182f6…
06-09 16:46:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x32794a…
06-09 16:45:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0xca4107…
06-09 16:44:28	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xa7ba19…
06-09 16:42:51	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x54a121…
06-09 13:29:06	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9e4bd0…
06-09 08:17:33	will wti reach 110 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b34b2…
06-09 02:17:10	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 10 20260607232624534	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb91c02…
06-09 02:11:01	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 10 20260607232624534	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5badb…
06-09 01:38:22	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0xa8e2a4…
06-09 00:32:28	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdd465b…
06-08 21:17:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x946cda…
06-08 20:59:25	wti closes above 91 on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xabe8a0…
06-08 20:14:15	wti closes above 91 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0dcb76…
06-08 20:07:39	spy closes above 740 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfe1b7d…
06-08 19:53:09	spy closes above 740 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x96a584…
06-08 18:45:15	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x658669…
06-08 16:19:24	wti closes above 92 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x50474c…
06-08 12:03:48	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 9 20260607232624533	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5f4610…
06-08 11:19:13	wti closes above 94 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x725f03…
06-08 10:42:07	wti closes above 94 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x83d1e8…
06-06 17:24:58	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdd7113…
06-06 17:21:15	Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8e565e…
06-06 04:34:28	Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x186f8b…
06-05 20:41:06	wti closes above 94 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd17b5f…
06-05 20:07:54	wti closes above 90 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xcce581…
06-05 18:32:54	wti closes above 90 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xc3246c…
06-05 18:30:34	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	No	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xd126f7…
06-05 16:17:43	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 5	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x686c61…
06-05 15:34:07	wti closes above 91 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x0d6c14…
06-05 15:33:42	wti closes above 91 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xfa6779…
06-05 14:07:06	wti closes above 94 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2e8618…
06-05 13:37:37	wti closes above 92 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x219fbc…
06-05 13:36:16	wti closes above 92 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe17ed9…
06-05 13:06:00	wti closes above 93 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xeb13da…
06-05 13:05:21	wti closes above 93 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6b0059…
06-04 19:47:22	will trump say fossil or fuel during coal announcement 20260604130800085 346	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ad72a…
06-04 19:37:30	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xe3fdde…
06-04 19:37:07	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4ac522…
05-23 01:09:02	Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8a4b69…
05-22 20:48:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 22?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4baa80…
05-21 17:50:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 22?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$3	0x5d7271…
05-21 14:50:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa5dc8b…
05-20 16:22:52	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xcdde44…
05-15 23:19:03	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfe7598…
05-15 23:07:05	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	159	2¢	$3	0x70af34…
05-15 20:48:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x263ed0…
05-15 20:19:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x45c138…
05-15 19:04:53	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0xf14001…
05-15 18:52:36	Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x9cf902…
05-15 10:47:57	Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xf12c19…
05-15 00:59:06	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd71986…
05-14 19:45:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	3¢	$4	0x23e27b…
05-14 10:53:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x0afea9…
05-14 09:39:00	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x37fa3b…
05-14 08:35:52	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9aba73…
05-14 08:35:48	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe5fb0c…
05-14 07:42:48	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5baec9…
05-14 07:42:26	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86f7f2…
05-14 07:02:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 14?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x3057d3…
05-14 06:48:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 14?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x602426…
05-14 06:44:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0xf8151a…
05-14 06:43:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0d4d36…
05-04 20:30:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 4?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x862f75…
05-04 20:20:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?	No	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x73a1ff…
05-04 20:19:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x627c99…
05-03 05:06:46	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbcb11e…
05-02 20:12:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x0b2ca6…
05-02 20:01:06	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x82cad6…
05-02 18:02:18	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x666a55…