Realized P&L
+$104
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
155
Trades
204
lifetime
Volume
$2.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$50
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-26 19:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 62% -$32
Politics
28% 50% +$151
Other
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +156 $25 15¢ $23 -$2 06-19 14:14
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +33 $10 34¢ $11 +$1 10-26 19:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +56 $10 18¢ $10 $0 05-24 17:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +30 $5 15¢ $4 -$1 06-19 14:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +31 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 05-24 16:23