Pushy-Cloudburst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

127

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 06:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$4

Other

46% 98% +$4

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+29	$29	97¢	$28	-$1	09-12 00:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	04-02 04:57
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	06-21 16:49
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	2	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	07-11 18:48
bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	08-20 00:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	2	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	04-25 06:23
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-26 14:43
bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-06 13:54
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 02:05
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-12 10:31
bitcoin above 80k on april 15	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-13 20:21
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	09-12 00:25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-26 22:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 7	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	04-07 10:41
bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-06 14:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-11 11:49
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-15 07:10
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	01-16 09:59
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	01-26 01:33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-25 02:41
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	04-21 22:53
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-17 07:09
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 16	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-16 22:29
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	02-05 13:04
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 04:39
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-30 12:59
bitcoin above 68k on april 16	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	04-15 00:23
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-12 00:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-24 04:29
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-28 20:12
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	08-27 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:34:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11de54…
10-22 13:24:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8e48da…
10-17 21:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x7a832c…
10-15 21:27:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c9125…
10-12 00:04:14	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7efee9…
10-09 00:53:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7c94f3…
10-07 08:41:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6e2c48…
10-04 11:38:43	Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8bd770…
09-30 12:12:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd5297e…
09-29 03:05:39	will ethereum dip to 2200 in september 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ef5bf…
09-24 09:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x832349…
09-17 23:15:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7021da…
09-17 10:46:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc8c981…
09-12 00:25:15	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4e1b18…
09-06 10:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4704b9…
09-05 07:42:40	bitcoin above 86k on september 6 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x01986f…
08-30 12:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1335d1…
08-27 20:01:21	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa35ad4…
08-26 23:12:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4fd33b…
08-25 02:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x94f5f2…
08-22 01:26:28	bitcoin above 66k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfac925…
08-20 00:56:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x669dfe…
08-15 21:53:09	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdd0436…
08-15 19:57:13	bitcoin above 60k on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x4829c2…
08-12 17:56:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0135d3…
08-09 00:26:13	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd17b44…
08-08 00:32:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x57ee5b…
08-06 14:57:32	bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x4f2b54…
07-31 14:17:20	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8b2e09…
07-30 21:29:53	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x08d0da…
07-28 20:12:47	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9808e3…
07-27 00:45:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x06fcd8…
07-26 14:43:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x68270b…
07-17 22:10:36	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x75001a…
07-16 19:52:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x09a477…
07-15 20:18:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5a53da…
07-13 21:51:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x49129c…
07-13 21:13:07	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x921876…
07-12 01:44:08	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x14f1a8…
07-11 18:48:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3f10fc…
07-11 06:08:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xaaf0c2…
07-09 23:38:19	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 9	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x77e99f…
07-09 17:05:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa5e2dc…
07-06 13:54:29	bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbe1e8f…
07-05 08:37:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x6c88bc…
07-04 01:55:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8ece99…
07-03 21:34:35	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x211c5f…
07-03 02:28:13	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x332dec…
07-02 07:40:49	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xd54954…
06-30 10:36:35	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x013cd1…
06-25 06:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x58126c…
06-22 20:41:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xdfb06a…
06-22 10:25:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x79eddf…
06-21 16:49:11	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcf6430…
06-20 22:07:26	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcf09d5…
06-02 02:05:58	Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc9aa5d…
06-01 17:54:10	Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd068c4…
06-01 11:21:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x974c16…
05-30 12:59:05	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x77f606…
05-30 08:15:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7c9247…
05-28 01:52:32	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x76d747…
05-27 08:10:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x193e1d…
05-27 07:36:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52f3af…
05-26 22:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd2969b…
05-26 22:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x659305…
05-26 04:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x14e6ca…
05-25 15:35:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3c31af…
05-24 20:23:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe9dc6a…
05-24 04:29:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf444a6…
05-23 09:28:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x13a459…
05-21 19:23:08	Will "MOULIN by László NEMES" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfcb749…
05-21 04:23:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x92ad9d…
05-21 03:31:09	Will "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5c7385…
05-20 14:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd19a1a…
05-19 05:36:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x274f31…
05-19 00:50:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x52c345…
05-18 16:01:13	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd0fe6b…
05-18 13:32:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdb563c…
05-17 07:09:45	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x58c3e6…
05-16 18:11:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdf06ef…
05-16 05:35:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa3a40d…
05-15 07:10:13	Will Russell Henley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1fc67c…
05-13 19:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfbf388…
05-13 07:47:36	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa6d28b…
05-12 06:06:33	Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40aad1…
05-11 11:49:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xac7e0d…
05-11 10:37:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x0bdb9a…
05-10 05:15:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x12b7d8…
05-09 20:36:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xa5bfd9…
05-09 17:48:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xae0976…
05-09 00:01:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x00146f…
05-07 23:08:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x233fb8…
05-06 15:42:02	Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4eda1b…
05-06 12:53:46	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc63d1…
05-04 23:53:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9c9f67…
05-03 04:34:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe3a067…
05-01 18:46:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x98aee4…
05-01 05:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe9e944…
05-01 00:34:48	Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x23bf3f…
04-29 08:00:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8ed01d…