Realized P&L
-$78
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
156
Trades
673
lifetime
Volume
$9.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-08 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
53% 34% -$117
Politics
37% 48% +$114
Sports
6% 33% -$93
Tech
3% 50% +$23
Crypto
1% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +400 $340 89¢ $355 +$16 06-02 18:53
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -325 -$152 87¢ $-283 -$130 10-18 14:40
US recession by end of 2026? No +210 $161 96¢ $202 +$41 05-20 08:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +125 $86 98¢ $123 +$37 06-23 02:27
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -120 -$108 98¢ $-118 -$10 06-20 08:04
Russia coup attempt in 2026? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 05-28 00:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +100 $84 98¢ $98 +$14 06-17 00:57
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $60 94¢ $94 +$34 09-21 22:14
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +100 $88 91¢ $91 +$3 10-15 16:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -90 -$82 98¢ $-88 -$6 06-16 11:47
Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026? Yes — +75 $30 98¢ $74 +$43 11-08 18:33
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -75 -$70 97¢ $-73 -$3 06-20 22:04
Will 110 or more unique champions be played at Worlds 2026? No +69 $50 94¢ $64 +$14 11-05 04:00
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +60 $55 99¢ $59 +$5 05-15 15:33
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +60 $49 97¢ $58 +$10 09-11 05:03
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 million? No +100 $54 50¢ $50 -$4 11-08 12:03
Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? Yes +120 $45 40¢ $48 +$3 10-01 08:20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -50 -$40 95¢ $-48 -$7 06-16 18:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -48 -$46 98¢ $-47 $0 11-01 21:19
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +150 $49 29¢ $43 -$6 09-16 19:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -44 -$42 90¢ $-40 +$2 06-16 16:26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? Yes +60 $42 63¢ $38 -$4 10-05 22:20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -50 -$48 54¢ $-27 +$20 06-03 14:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 No +70 $15 33¢ $23 +$8 10-01 04:28
Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026? Yes +60 $14 31¢ $19 +$4 10-30 13:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $14 18¢ $18 +$4 08-30 17:34
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +100 $11 15¢ $15 +$4 09-25 20:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +30 $12 46¢ $14 +$2 11-06 18:53
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million? No +110 $31 12¢ $13 -$17 11-08 11:51
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $14 24¢ $12 -$2 11-06 14:10