Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
48.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
252
lifetime
Volume
$4.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$504
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-25 02:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
57% 0% $-38
Other
39% 50% +$27
Tech
4%
Sports
0% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -120 $-108 91¢ $-109 $-1 06-20 08:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +100 $84 88¢ $88 +$4 06-17 00:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -90 $-82 94¢ $-84 $-2 06-16 11:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -94 $-81 84¢ $-79 +$2 06-16 16:26
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -75 $-70 92¢ $-69 +$1 06-20 22:04
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -75 $-63 83¢ $-62 +$1 06-23 02:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +40 $22 34¢ $13 $-9 06-02 18:39