Lustrous-Proceedings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.79K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,872

lifetime

Volume

$880.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$307

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-02 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

59% 55% $-1,818

Politics

37% 100% +$4,606

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 330 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	51	$79.8K	99,999	118,528	-18,529	open	—	03-10 15:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$48.5K	29,218	29,218	+0	open	—	04-24 16:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	57	$46.7K	27,970	27,970	+0	open	—	04-25 13:52
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	20	$35.7K	27,369	27,369	+0	open	—	04-28 15:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	45	$31.0K	19,638	19,638	+0	open	—	05-09 13:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$29.7K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	06-02 13:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$20.5K	16,810	16,810	+0	open	—	05-09 09:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$17.1K	16,142	16,142	+0	open	—	05-16 13:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	5	$16.4K	8,845	8,845	+0	open	—	05-14 08:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$15.6K	9,621	9,549	+72	No	+$3,204	05-05 13:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	27	$14.6K	12,628	12,628	+0	open	—	05-09 10:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	28	$14.5K	25,936	12,461	+13,475	open	—	05-12 17:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$13.0K	32,433	6,770	+25,663	open	—	05-12 18:18
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	46	$12.5K	118,499	0	+118,499	open	—	04-21 14:33
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	6	$12.4K	16,468	16,468	+0	open	—	05-16 13:25
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$12.2K	16,473	6,474	+9,999	open	—	04-24 14:42
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$11.6K	25,221	25,221	+0	open	—	05-12 18:14
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	20	$11.1K	53,628	0	+53,628	open	—	04-24 15:46
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	11	$10.4K	23,154	0	+23,154	open	—	04-12 19:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$9.8K	12,593	5,440	+7,153	open	—	05-23 16:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$9.5K	5,434	5,434	+0	No	+$1,033	05-08 13:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$9.3K	11,805	0	+11,805	open	—	04-25 08:40
James Comey arrested by April 29?	16	$8.9K	29,290	2,432	+26,858	open	—	04-29 15:45
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	13	$8.8K	19,059	0	+19,059	FUT Esports	$-8,767	05-08 14:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	35	$8.7K	14,493	14,493	+0	open	—	04-25 17:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$8.4K	5,408	5,408	+0	open	—	05-16 13:31
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	26	$7.9K	17,182	2,008	+15,174	open	—	04-13 14:04
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$7.5K	4,862	4,862	+0	open	—	05-09 09:51
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	26	$6.1K	16,400	15,673	+727	open	—	04-22 13:49
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	25	$6.1K	40,865	4,578	+36,287	open	—	04-14 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 13:41:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15,000	99¢	$14,865	0xee0088…
06-02 13:07:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15,000	99¢	$14,880	0xf58c7e…
05-31 06:29:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x81bfb0…
05-31 06:27:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5e75a1…
05-31 06:25:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xaeeb42…
05-31 06:23:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x64f627…
05-31 06:22:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x9a83c1…
05-31 06:22:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	12¢	$21	0xd5871d…
05-31 06:20:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17,350	12¢	$2,082	0xcd9acc…
05-30 21:05:14	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	3,234	48¢	$1,558	0x72f31f…
05-30 20:45:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x98e277…
05-30 20:34:22	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	Yes	BUY	8,476	40¢	$3,350	0xf3f3da…
05-23 16:01:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	7,153	24¢	$1,717	0x7aecce…
05-23 16:00:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5,440	76¢	$4,107	0x24ac3b…
05-19 14:11:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	817	73¢	$596	0xecac89…
05-19 14:07:52	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,005	26¢	$260	0xdc5acc…
05-16 13:33:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,812	81¢	$2,270	0xeec69b…
05-16 13:31:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4,742	95¢	$4,510	0x1507ee…
05-16 13:25:42	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11,708	38¢	$4,454	0x3bc28f…
05-15 10:26:27	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4,759	38¢	$1,809	0x300460…
05-14 13:30:14	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	151	39¢	$59	0xf3fe3b…
05-14 12:48:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	666	90¢	$599	0xa1573d…
05-14 08:42:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8,845	98¢	$8,680	0x17b572…
05-13 21:03:25	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	840	39¢	$328	0x4ff024…
05-13 20:39:23	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,705	4¢	$68	0x8e8187…
05-13 20:38:43	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$36	0xacf32e…
05-13 20:38:36	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12,461	3¢	$355	0xa21c33…
05-13 20:37:48	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,447	40¢	$575	0x300f30…
05-13 20:36:40	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14,030	37¢	$5,143	0x79efb2…
05-13 14:14:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	3,390	62¢	$2,116	0x5a6e8a…
05-13 14:10:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	111	58¢	$65	0x4b0df8…
05-13 11:37:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	3,171	42¢	$1,331	0x4e1a68…
05-13 09:38:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,282	3¢	$111	0xe3bbfe…
05-12 18:18:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2,352	63¢	$1,482	0xfd1805…
05-12 18:14:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17,139	30¢	$5,142	0xd0604e…
05-12 18:03:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,634	3¢	$175	0x24bed7…
05-12 17:47:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3,000	63¢	$1,890	0xf37602…
05-12 17:44:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	4,623	74¢	$3,410	0xd97c4b…
05-12 17:37:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xd9a5d8…
05-12 17:37:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd529d5…
05-12 17:37:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x8184a5…
05-12 17:37:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3272c9…
05-12 17:37:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x1c9db9…
05-12 17:37:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0x09b6d4…
05-12 17:37:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb7b414…
05-12 17:37:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,315	2¢	$329	0x8193a5…
05-12 17:37:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x3b56d0…
05-12 05:27:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8,081	33¢	$2,657	0x62de2d…
05-11 15:05:44	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	47¢	$53	0x02794a…
05-11 15:04:50	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	49¢	$23	0x6df99f…
05-11 15:04:45	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x06fc98…
05-11 15:04:40	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	46¢	$80	0x1d7f0c…
05-11 15:04:31	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,092	51¢	$553	0xed5d6b…
05-11 05:12:57	Will 0 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	59¢	$131	0xbd4d82…
05-10 19:24:14	Will 0 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	12¢	$15	0xfb630c…
05-10 19:24:03	Will 0 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,698	10¢	$170	0xa90fa0…
05-10 19:19:48	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,354	15¢	$203	0x260287…
05-10 19:19:11	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	14¢	$47	0x6c20aa…
05-10 19:19:06	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	13¢	$8	0xecba56…
05-10 19:18:57	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	416	14¢	$58	0xcaa41d…
05-10 19:18:52	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,198	14¢	$308	0x869e5b…
05-09 19:12:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6,770	29¢	$1,963	0x26c0c5…
05-09 17:30:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25,221	15¢	$3,773	0x5dd28c…
05-09 15:39:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,478	87¢	$2,156	0xc1faa0…
05-09 15:37:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x53e676…
05-09 15:21:33	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	954	56¢	$533	0x1526ca…
05-09 15:21:13	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,275	53¢	$1,206	0x1ec9e7…
05-09 15:06:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10,965	9¢	$987	0x5ebcda…
05-09 15:04:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12,117	29¢	$3,514	0x34e4ad…
05-09 15:03:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,063	28¢	$2,817	0x581576…
05-09 15:03:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,901	27¢	$1,323	0x58349a…
05-09 14:55:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x79ef37…
05-09 14:55:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6,257	87¢	$5,444	0x9dcd2b…
05-09 13:40:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2,256	94¢	$2,121	0x3c96d5…
05-09 13:33:15	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x32412f…
05-09 13:29:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xfb0740…
05-09 13:03:35	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0883d1…
05-09 12:58:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0x89d778…
05-09 12:51:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	195	94¢	$183	0x25170d…
05-09 12:46:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	111	94¢	$104	0x1be06b…
05-09 12:43:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x02cbc9…
05-09 12:39:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x36d459…
05-09 12:35:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	160	94¢	$151	0x2c5c6f…
05-09 12:32:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0x99a199…
05-09 12:32:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x3b2528…
05-09 12:31:49	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0x35d35c…
05-09 12:31:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x359560…
05-09 12:31:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	569	94¢	$535	0x7d6dd5…
05-09 12:31:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x5be989…
05-09 12:29:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x054bb3…
05-09 12:24:37	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x00a166…
05-09 12:24:09	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x18148e…
05-09 12:21:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	204	94¢	$191	0x7db247…
05-09 12:20:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1,429	94¢	$1,343	0x0c0202…
05-09 12:10:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2f14a6…
05-09 11:59:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbbd6ab…
05-09 11:56:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5,296	94¢	$4,978	0xcd899c…
05-09 11:30:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	475	94¢	$446	0xb32740…
05-09 11:19:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,719	12¢	$336	0xb69707…
05-09 11:06:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,719	12¢	$334	0x4c50b7…