Realized P&L
+$114.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$280
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
376
Trades
3,167
lifetime
Volume
$1.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$318
Open exposure
$919
2 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-12 10:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
59%
34%
+$83,567
Politics
34%
47%
+$36,726
Crypto
7%
0%
-$3,280
Tech
0%
0%
-$2,424
Sports
0%
0%
-$310
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | +945 | $358 | 58¢ | $543 | +$186 | 05-01 08:21 | |
| Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | +398 | $282 | 94¢ | $376 | +$94 | 05-05 10:24 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359 | 51 | $79.8K | 99,999 | 118,528 | -18,529 | Yes | +$61,029 | 03-10 15:58 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 27 | $67.3K | 49,700 | 49,700 | +0 | No | -$3,280 | 06-02 13:41 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 15 | $48.5K | 29,218 | 29,218 | +0 | No | +$8,182 | 04-24 16:02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 57 | $46.7K | 27,970 | 27,970 | +0 | No | +$5,874 | 04-25 13:52 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 20 | $35.7K | 27,369 | 27,369 | +0 | Yes | +$18,829 | 04-28 15:36 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 45 | $31.0K | 19,638 | 19,638 | +0 | Yes | +$4,482 | 05-09 13:40 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 7 | $20.8K | 32,433 | 27,081 | +5,352 | No | +$4,126 | 05-12 18:18 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 19 | $20.5K | 16,810 | 16,810 | +0 | No | +$6,052 | 05-09 09:36 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | 3 | $20.1K | 12,827 | 12,827 | +0 | No | +$5,378 | 05-20 07:41 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 9 | $17.1K | 16,142 | 16,142 | +0 | No | +$2,201 | 05-16 13:33 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | 5 | $16.4K | 8,845 | 8,845 | +0 | No | +$986 | 05-14 08:42 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | 8 | $15.6K | 9,621 | 9,549 | +72 | No | +$3,204 | 05-05 13:05 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 27 | $14.6K | 12,628 | 12,628 | +0 | No | -$1,418 | 05-09 10:45 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | 28 | $14.5K | 25,936 | 12,461 | +13,475 | No | -$250 | 05-12 17:37 |
| elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219 | 46 | $12.5K | 118,499 | 0 | +118,499 | No | -$12,458 | 04-21 14:33 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | 6 | $12.4K | 16,468 | 16,468 | +0 | No | +$158 | 05-16 13:25 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 4 | $12.2K | 16,473 | 6,474 | +9,999 | No | +$740 | 04-24 14:42 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | 3 | $11.6K | 25,221 | 25,221 | +0 | No | +$4,026 | 05-12 18:14 |
| elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199 | 20 | $11.1K | 53,628 | 0 | +53,628 | No | -$11,124 | 04-24 15:46 |
| elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259 | 11 | $10.4K | 23,154 | 0 | +23,154 | No | +$3,891 | 04-12 19:05 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | 8 | $9.9K | 11,751 | 11,751 | +0 | Yes | +$65 | 06-12 10:56 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | 4 | $9.8K | 12,593 | 5,440 | +7,153 | No | -$1,616 | 05-23 16:01 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 3 | $9.5K | 5,434 | 5,434 | +0 | No | +$1,033 | 05-08 13:49 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | 1 | $9.3K | 11,805 | 0 | +11,805 | No | +$2,512 | 04-25 08:40 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29? | 16 | $8.9K | 29,290 | 2,432 | +26,858 | Yes | -$7,780 | 04-29 15:45 |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs | 13 | $8.8K | 19,059 | 0 | +19,059 | FUT Esports | -$8,767 | 05-08 14:53 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 35 | $8.7K | 14,493 | 14,493 | +0 | No | -$3,237 | 04-25 17:06 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 3 | $8.4K | 5,408 | 5,408 | +0 | No | +$1,820 | 05-16 13:31 |
| elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139 | 26 | $7.9K | 17,182 | 2,008 | +15,174 | Yes | +$9,511 | 04-13 14:04 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | 4 | $7.5K | 4,862 | 4,862 | +0 | No | +$1,121 | 05-09 09:51 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||