Realized P&L
-$227
Unrealized P&L
-$93
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
580
Trades
892
lifetime
Volume
$12.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$210
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-31 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
81% 42% -$373
Crypto
16% 42% +$142
Sports
1% 23% +$17
Tech
1% 50% +$10
Politics
1% 17% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -39 -$16 81¢ $-32 -$15 06-18 07:45
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -28 -$26 95¢ $-27 -$1 05-11 08:36
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +50 $27 43¢ $22 -$6 06-26 14:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +25 $15 86¢ $21 +$6 07-10 21:38
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -19 -$16 90¢ $-18 -$2 06-14 08:36
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +19 $10 88¢ $17 +$7 07-11 19:23
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -16 -$10 92¢ $-14 -$5 05-08 11:12
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +20 $11 56¢ $11 +$0 09-04 15:03
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 -$1 05-04 15:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +60 $4 16¢ $10 +$6 09-20 22:16
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +10 $5 87¢ $8 +$3 05-20 13:45
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +700 $70 1¢ $7 -$63 07-23 11:05
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +12 $5 47¢ $6 +$1 10-30 13:02
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 34¢ $3 $0 08-23 23:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +30 $12 6¢ $2 -$10 10-06 08:17
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $15 4¢ $1 -$14 06-25 18:43
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +11 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 07-08 21:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +7 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 05-19 17:40
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -17 -$4 1¢ $-0 +$3 06-27 08:08