Jaded-Windchime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,920

lifetime

Volume

$217.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$555

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-12 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

41% 67% +$1,241

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-600	$-540	92¢	$-555	$-15	06-25 22:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	347	$49.0K	166,487	146,758	+19,729	open	—	01-31 07:36
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	16	$9.7K	10,100	0	+10,100	open	—	02-19 10:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	18	$8.6K	4,400	4,400	+0	open	—	03-26 10:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$7.2K	3,600	4,400	-800	open	—	03-31 14:52
will seguro win all of portugals districts	16	$7.1K	3,834	3,954	-120	open	—	02-09 06:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	29	$5.5K	2,580	3,744	-1,163	open	—	01-25 21:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	20	$5.0K	2,872	2,418	+454	open	—	02-24 09:10
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	4	$5.0K	0	4,990	-4,990	open	—	01-01 09:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	9	$4.9K	1,500	4,146	-2,646	open	—	02-05 13:11
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	33	$4.5K	2,707	4,101	-1,394	open	—	01-31 07:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$4.5K	3,300	3,000	+300	open	—	01-26 08:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	73	$4.4K	3,266	10,466	-7,200	open	—	04-12 08:28
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	67	$4.0K	4,738	2,960	+1,778	open	—	03-23 13:39
another us government shutdown by february 14	20	$3.8K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	02-13 18:02
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	7	$3.8K	3,819	0	+3,819	open	—	01-03 11:55
republican house odds up or down this week	26	$3.7K	6,734	785	+5,949	open	—	02-13 20:11
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	63	$3.7K	5,162	5,850	-687	open	—	04-10 13:09
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	13	$3.5K	4,800	1,897	+2,903	open	—	01-25 22:36
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	93	$3.4K	4,770	10,862	-6,092	open	—	04-12 16:42
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	19	$3.2K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	01-31 02:17
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	10	$3.1K	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	04-03 20:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$3.0K	2,400	600	+1,800	open	—	04-08 02:13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$3.0K	0	3,500	-3,500	open	—	01-18 11:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	15	$2.8K	12,200	5,900	+6,300	open	—	04-12 20:20
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	10	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	01-26 02:24
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	01-30 09:05
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	24	$2.1K	3,350	0	+3,350	open	—	04-12 18:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	15	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-07 19:32
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	86	$2.0K	6,626	92	+6,534	open	—	04-12 06:04
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	8	$2.0K	1,254	1,054	+200	open	—	01-07 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 10:53:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0xc4785e…
07-12 02:49:32	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x102d07…
07-10 22:36:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	500	65¢	$324	0x710b9b…
07-10 22:35:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	200	36¢	$71	0xda517f…
07-08 21:36:41	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	192	25¢	$48	0x558e86…
07-08 21:33:58	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	108	25¢	$27	0x59ea8e…
07-08 21:00:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x01837e…
07-08 20:35:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x61cce7…
07-07 19:04:50	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xfbdbbf…
07-03 23:54:14	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x6ac1c6…
06-29 02:52:50	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x277f4d…
06-29 02:50:13	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4d288c…
06-29 02:33:37	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0c4752…
06-29 02:23:23	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x6beaae…
06-29 02:18:32	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb9c7d5…
06-29 02:18:02	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xad2918…
06-29 01:37:55	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe01065…
06-29 01:29:58	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xa64918…
06-29 00:40:17	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xed587e…
06-28 23:21:22	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x362445…
06-28 23:09:49	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	137	62¢	$85	0xf121d5…
06-26 01:06:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xf81b4e…
06-25 22:22:52	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	600	90¢	$540	0xa96db3…
06-14 22:22:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,200	76¢	$913	0x7cd7da…
06-13 08:32:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,200	16¢	$190	0xe0876b…
05-07 19:32:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	271	94¢	$254	0x81d1a1…
05-07 19:27:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0x49f2fc…
05-07 19:19:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xea3ff2…
05-07 19:04:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x113e79…
05-07 18:30:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x68adb0…
05-07 17:13:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	91	94¢	$85	0x39fd6f…
05-07 16:36:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xd75191…
05-07 16:31:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x608f9d…
05-07 16:23:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	219	94¢	$206	0x55c071…
05-06 08:58:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	170	94¢	$160	0xf93997…
05-06 08:52:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x9a3d07…
05-06 08:43:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x4c6614…
05-06 08:31:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x60000a…
05-06 08:31:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	95	94¢	$89	0x27b0ae…
04-30 19:53:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xfda3c1…
04-23 11:38:38	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x780fdd…
04-22 17:52:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	800	100¢	$799	0xc9a875…
04-19 19:24:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	800	81¢	$645	0xdc4bed…
04-19 11:05:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,200	77¢	$924	0xd9b6d4…
04-19 10:24:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	1,000	81¢	$810	0x429c02…
04-16 08:41:20	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	1,182	0¢	$1	0xc3207f…
04-15 10:46:16	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6534ca…
04-15 10:29:06	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	SELL	184	6¢	$11	0x0beb64…
04-15 09:43:34	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xc7a833…
04-15 06:11:24	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	800	98¢	$788	0xaca7fd…
04-14 07:37:17	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	SELL	681	96¢	$656	0x95c535…
04-13 08:22:21	will tisza win at least 110 seats	No	SELL	238	0¢	$1	0x0db070…
04-13 07:08:57	will tisza win at least 110 seats	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x669b0c…
04-13 05:50:33	will tisza win at least 110 seats	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xcec861…
04-13 03:18:53	will tisza win at least 110 seats	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1ffcd7…
04-13 03:07:33	will tisza win 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	166	99¢	$164	0xfd0b98…
04-13 01:04:47	will tisza win at least 110 seats	No	SELL	1,014	0¢	$3	0x2842f6…
04-12 22:38:51	will the democratic coalition dk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd74424…
04-12 21:51:05	will the democratic coalition dk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc5ecd4…
04-12 21:06:45	will the democratic coalition dk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8760a1…
04-12 20:20:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	5,200	1¢	$42	0x7dabb4…
04-12 19:36:59	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	295	14¢	$41	0x641cec…
04-12 19:35:57	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x418f29…
04-12 19:30:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	5,200	0¢	$16	0xecc22c…
04-12 19:12:29	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$101	0xb73e72…
04-12 19:07:17	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	600	13¢	$79	0xefe198…
04-12 19:07:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	SELL	1,700	0¢	$2	0xc7f631…
04-12 19:00:51	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	Yes	SELL	400	10¢	$38	0x2b622f…
04-12 18:47:39	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x286ab3…
04-12 18:05:31	will the democratic coalition dk win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x33865a…
04-12 16:42:41	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	192	14¢	$27	0x64fa82…
04-12 16:42:13	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf8ca77…
04-12 16:38:53	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	138	63¢	$87	0x93b797…
04-12 16:32:41	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9d392a…
04-12 16:31:27	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x3dcdad…
04-12 16:20:27	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x04699b…
04-12 16:19:25	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,644	7¢	$115	0xbfdc20…
04-12 16:18:13	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xf75dcd…
04-12 16:17:29	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x37e029…
04-12 16:08:33	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1,167	15¢	$175	0x126aba…
04-12 16:08:23	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	219	15¢	$33	0x54df01…
04-12 16:08:19	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	333	15¢	$50	0x02a13c…
04-12 16:08:05	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1,133	15¢	$170	0x10d588…
04-12 16:07:51	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x643d55…
04-12 16:06:57	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0x85395b…
04-12 16:06:43	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	132	15¢	$20	0x6b3299…
04-12 16:04:43	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xcf6dcc…
04-12 16:04:43	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	3,037	15¢	$455	0xaaa409…
04-12 10:19:03	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	686	8¢	$55	0x39803d…
04-12 10:17:43	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x6c897d…
04-12 10:17:35	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x795f80…
04-12 10:17:27	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x921a4b…
04-12 10:17:19	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x5192d6…
04-12 10:17:11	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x28b148…
04-12 10:17:03	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xef19e5…
04-12 10:16:55	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x508425…
04-12 10:16:47	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0xefaa13…
04-12 10:16:47	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	156	8¢	$12	0x320597…
04-12 10:08:39	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0xf6d424…
04-12 08:46:41	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	600	7¢	$42	0x5b8c93…