Jaded-Windchime 0xad287c…111601 Create alert
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.90K
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
200
Trades
2,424
lifetime
Volume
$277.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$114
Open exposure
$27.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 18:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
50% 47% -$6,530
Politics
49% 64% -$5,613
Sports
1% 47% +$483
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +5,300 $3,589 99¢ $5.2K +$1,658 11-02 21:54
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +4,200 $2,546 99¢ $4.2K +$1,612 10-15 00:58
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,500 $908 96¢ $2.4K +$1,505 11-03 18:22
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,300 $2,075 100¢ $2.3K +$225 10-21 02:47
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,588 $1,371 98¢ $1.6K +$186 10-26 20:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,500 $1,353 100¢ $1.5K +$147 10-21 03:31
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +1,300 $1,143 98¢ $1.3K +$131 10-31 17:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $928 82¢ $978 +$50 08-11 14:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,696 -$336 19¢ $-719 -$383 10-22 15:29
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes -732 -$618 90¢ $-662 -$44 10-31 09:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -700 -$453 85¢ $-596 -$143 04-28 22:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $424 99¢ $594 +$170 11-02 21:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No -600 -$540 96¢ $-574 -$34 06-25 22:22
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +500 $469 97¢ $484 +$15 09-29 07:19
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +500 $370 92¢ $462 +$92 11-02 21:04
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $370 92¢ $458 +$88 11-02 19:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +400 $252 99¢ $396 +$144 10-09 06:24
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +400 $64 99¢ $396 +$332 07-01 14:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $364 96¢ $382 +$18 09-13 12:37
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes +900 $325 32¢ $288 -$37 10-17 00:48
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +300 $156 94¢ $282 +$126 10-16 23:06
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +275 $145 90¢ $246 +$101 07-23 20:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,322 -$190 17¢ $-221 -$30 08-01 06:38
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +200 $192 100¢ $200 +$7 05-31 04:15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +200 $188 100¢ $200 +$12 10-31 06:35
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +150 $35 96¢ $145 +$109 10-31 05:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +200 $114 67¢ $134 +$19 11-03 03:50
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? No — +400 $149 32¢ $130 -$19 10-15 12:58
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes -2,000 -$347 4¢ $-70 +$277 11-03 15:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $500 4¢ $70 -$430 11-03 11:54