Realized P&L
-$578
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
784
Trades
1,362
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$70
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 09:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 97% +$54
Other
26% 85% -$527
Politics
21% 63% -$114
Sports
1% 88% +$9
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 10-28 18:21
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 10-23 21:04
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +20 $14 41¢ $8 -$6 10-05 12:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $0 10-29 09:14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-19 21:15
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $3 84¢ $3 $0 10-06 17:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-19 19:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-19 09:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-20 15:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $0 10-27 09:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 10-27 09:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 10-20 14:51
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 10-27 20:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-26 15:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $0 10-20 15:42
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-20 09:12
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 10-20 09:14
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 77¢ $1 $0 10-20 09:14