Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
80
lifetime
Volume
$198
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$50
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-03 12:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
48%
Other
36%
Tech
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $5 68¢ $7 +$2 06-23 03:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +8 $2 78¢ $7 +$4 06-03 18:40
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 07-03 12:15
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +15 $5 32¢ $5 $-0 06-24 17:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-24 12:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 06-18 13:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-29 04:29
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +15 $9 22¢ $3 $-6 06-26 16:35
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +25 $5 12¢ $3 $-2 06-22 20:51
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 70¢ $3 +$1 06-02 12:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $-1 06-08 11:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 07-01 13:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 06-06 16:38
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-03 11:20
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-02 01:30