Exalted-Twitter 0xae89da…9e90b8
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$13.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.39K
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved (30d)
283
Trades (30d)
1,977
33,583 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$56.5K
$709.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$32.4K
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 10-27 03:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 90% -$2,260
Politics
28% 60% -$242
Other
10% 83% +$1,014
Tech
5% 0% -$12,183
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 1164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11,000 -$10,230 96¢ $-10576 -$346 07-17 10:10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -9,092 -$8,055 97¢ $-8805 -$750 08-05 05:09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +7,900 $6,067 92¢ $7.3K +$1,240 10-15 10:46
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -5,531 -$4,923 98¢ $-5401 -$478 08-22 14:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,000 $4,220 11¢ $210 -$4,010 10-23 06:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +486 $30 16¢ $78 +$48 05-03 12:26
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -1,069 $13 0¢ $-4 -$17 06-12 06:31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +0 $80 13¢ $0 -$80 10-04 16:47