Attentive-Rawhide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.46K

Unrealized P&L

+$245

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

156

Trades

767

lifetime

Volume

$190.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$249

Open exposure

$94

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-26 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

48% 48% -$1,811

Politics

43% 31% -$2,557

Crypto

7% 18% -$1,393

Sports

2% 22% -$695

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		-2,369	-$339	4¢	$-94	+$245	05-11 11:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	48	$15.5K	12,554	12,554	+0	No	-$411	03-19 07:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	14	$13.3K	10,159	10,159	+0	Yes	-$791	05-24 01:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$10.2K	7,105	7,105	+0	No	+$3	03-09 00:23
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	21	$9.4K	7,314	7,314	+0	No	-$4	03-23 06:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$9.1K	7,881	7,881	+0	Yes	+$935	02-28 20:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	11	$7.1K	4,420	4,420	+0	No	+$502	03-05 10:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$6.3K	5,747	5,747	+0	No	-$107	03-14 12:19
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	7	$6.3K	3,828	3,828	+0	No	+$18	03-08 23:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	14	$5.8K	4,220	4,220	+0	Yes	+$35	06-14 21:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$4.8K	3,688	3,688	+0	Yes	-$391	05-20 19:23
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	9	$4.8K	3,816	3,816	+0	No	+$167	03-10 09:57
New pandemic in 2026?	35	$4.3K	27,072	27,072	+0	open	—	10-18 16:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	28	$3.9K	5,133	4,674	+459	Yes	-$478	03-28 07:42
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	12	$2.8K	2,933	2,933	+0	No	-$84	06-18 00:36
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game2	2	$2.7K	1,638	1,638	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$561	03-04 10:55
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08 game4	2	$2.6K	1,612	1,612	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$610	03-08 12:40
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08 game1	2	$2.6K	1,567	1,567	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$565	03-08 09:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	27	$2.5K	10,959	10,203	+756	No	+$524	07-29 02:05
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	8	$2.3K	2,044	2,044	+0	England	+$204	07-06 03:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$2.2K	1,575	1,575	+0	Yes	+$114	02-28 17:25
cs2 navi fut 2026 03 14	4	$2.2K	1,866	1,866	+0	Natus Vincere	+$278	03-14 17:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	8	$2.1K	1,888	1,888	+0	No	-$234	05-23 04:14
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$2.1K	3,963	3,963	+0	Yes	+$301	07-19 13:35
lol gen fox1 2026 03 01 game2	3	$1.9K	1,064	1,064	+0	Gen.G	+$271	03-01 10:00
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$531	02-28 07:34
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	9	$1.8K	1,279	1,279	+0	No	+$133	07-27 06:12
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	3	$1.8K	1,312	1,312	+0	Yes	+$806	06-05 16:26
will trump visit china by march 31	7	$1.5K	1,871	1,871	+0	No	-$199	03-08 23:12
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08 game2	2	$1.5K	933	933	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$363	03-08 10:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	5	$1.5K	2,905	5,274	-2,369	open	—	05-11 11:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:58:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	783	10¢	$78	0x76cd1b…
10-25 03:27:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	783	18¢	$141	0x59ecc3…
10-25 03:27:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	372	38¢	$141	0xde4f0b…
10-25 00:13:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	372	39¢	$145	0x13046f…
10-25 00:12:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	854	17¢	$145	0x094eed…
10-24 19:46:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x836fc5…
10-24 18:25:06	New pandemic before 2028?	Yes	BUY	888	13¢	$112	0x5df3fb…
10-24 18:24:45	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	278	41¢	$114	0x290eb5…
10-24 18:21:20	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	278	42¢	$117	0xab129e…
10-24 18:20:42	New pandemic before 2028?	Yes	SELL	1,166	10¢	$118	0x5f096e…
10-24 12:03:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	273	22¢	$60	0x3578e7…
10-24 09:58:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	464	13¢	$60	0x990175…
10-24 00:21:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0x2ad6bf…
10-24 00:16:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	464	22¢	$100	0x579dd0…
10-23 22:32:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	429	27¢	$116	0xe59b44…
10-23 17:15:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x7aabb0…
10-23 15:02:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	314	22¢	$69	0x4ce0b0…
10-23 15:02:09	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	427	17¢	$73	0x92a13a…
10-23 14:40:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	427	19¢	$81	0xbe7403…
10-23 14:40:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	414	21¢	$87	0x9de618…
10-23 14:18:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	414	22¢	$91	0x71ad7e…
10-23 14:17:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	594	16¢	$95	0xcf03b1…
10-23 13:02:24	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	594	19¢	$113	0x022936…
10-23 12:56:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	548	22¢	$121	0x0c491c…
10-23 03:41:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	548	23¢	$126	0x21f151…
10-23 03:40:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	574	22¢	$126	0xedf6f2…
10-22 18:02:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xc8aa8e…
10-22 17:57:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	388	26¢	$101	0x1b28e8…
10-18 16:58:32	New pandemic before 2028?	Yes	BUY	1,166	12¢	$139	0x5e8130…
10-18 16:57:54	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,694	3¢	$146	0x963121…
10-16 15:09:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	209	54¢	$113	0xa986c5…
10-15 12:58:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	209	46¢	$96	0xfc4f04…
10-09 23:37:01	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	80	71¢	$57	0x9d560c…
10-08 19:04:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	62¢	$49	0x520e35…
10-08 19:03:39	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$50	0xe55fe6…
10-07 07:45:11	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	7¢	$84	0xc2b536…
10-06 04:18:45	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	801	9¢	$72	0x35c3ee…
10-06 04:14:24	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,375	8¢	$110	0x0cbe2e…
10-06 04:05:21	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd4f0fa…
10-05 11:48:01	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0xc14bfd…
10-05 08:24:53	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	129	44¢	$57	0xb0b01a…
10-05 00:22:53	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	6¢	$21	0xb2db38…
10-05 00:22:37	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	120	19¢	$23	0x29da44…
10-04 19:42:59	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	120	16¢	$19	0x3a7869…
10-04 19:42:41	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0x7e8257…
10-04 19:29:34	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	129	37¢	$48	0x4fda9f…
10-04 04:40:46	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	856	6¢	$50	0x032a07…
09-14 17:06:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	196	16¢	$31	0xb009c2…
09-13 16:25:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	117	22¢	$26	0xb641e0…
09-13 16:24:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	624	5¢	$28	0x55d230…
09-13 16:16:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	215	22¢	$47	0x161d00…
09-13 11:21:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	170	5¢	$9	0xea659e…
09-13 11:19:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	454	5¢	$23	0x946d10…
09-13 11:19:22	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	409	21¢	$86	0xb88a8e…
09-10 15:50:45	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	717	6¢	$43	0xf1676b…
09-05 20:13:33	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0xa83595…
09-05 20:09:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,324	0¢	$4	0xd341fe…
09-03 06:28:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	976	4¢	$40	0x84d8f1…
09-03 06:27:33	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	700	7¢	$52	0xd4d74c…
08-31 19:10:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	75	66¢	$49	0x079295…
08-31 18:28:57	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	700	7¢	$49	0xe12978…
08-27 08:17:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	15¢	$61	0xbc3afd…
08-27 08:10:09	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 25	No	SELL	585	11¢	$66	0xce31f0…
08-26 01:41:22	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 25	No	BUY	585	23¢	$135	0xb95f12…
08-20 02:45:37	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	5¢	$250	0x8017c9…
08-19 18:14:31	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game1	FURIA	SELL	113	14¢	$16	0x16f0db…
08-19 18:11:10	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19 game1	FURIA	BUY	113	26¢	$30	0x1670b8…
08-19 11:16:22	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	147	30¢	$44	0xf51d39…
08-19 07:33:33	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x449344…
08-18 14:33:21	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	121	61¢	$74	0x61230b…
08-17 17:24:36	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xbf35f2…
08-17 11:42:33	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	No	SELL	281	29¢	$82	0xf56e37…
08-17 05:12:39	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	No	BUY	281	36¢	$100	0x876a88…
08-17 05:11:52	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,878	5¢	$344	0x1cfcb3…
08-12 18:13:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	SELL	55	41¢	$23	0x64fd92…
08-12 18:09:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0xa95e1f…
08-12 10:23:40	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	80	55¢	$44	0x3ccc23…
08-11 22:21:06	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x37d3d8…
08-11 09:02:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	1,409	9¢	$129	0x1e466c…
08-11 04:36:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	1,409	11¢	$155	0xc099fb…
08-09 23:38:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	579	9¢	$52	0x70b215…
08-09 23:01:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	579	10¢	$58	0xc2ef95…
08-09 21:43:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	412	87¢	$358	0x90c2ec…
08-07 21:48:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xcb813a…
08-07 20:57:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	433	94¢	$408	0x3e94f9…
08-07 08:00:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	924	2¢	$17	0xd1b79a…
08-07 07:59:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xbdc946…
08-07 05:11:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	412	42¢	$173	0xe2d9d9…
08-07 05:09:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	87¢	$173	0x0c4704…
08-06 02:20:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	348	73¢	$253	0x49accb…
08-05 03:13:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x9268d9…
08-05 03:12:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	846	2¢	$15	0xee3b60…
08-05 01:57:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	274	64¢	$175	0x5abaf4…
08-05 01:57:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	1,047	15¢	$157	0x980ffc…
08-04 19:45:38	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	SELL	2,780	1¢	$20	0xf6625c…
08-04 03:29:45	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	SELL	154	17¢	$26	0xd0502f…
08-04 03:29:36	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$150	0x876dd6…
08-03 14:35:27	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	154	18¢	$28	0xc16a3c…
08-03 12:33:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	846	1¢	$11	0xecb0a6…
08-03 12:33:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x866c18…