Harsh-Polarisation 0xaf4ceb…eed5db Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$478
Unrealized P&L
+$188
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved
439
Trades
1,544
lifetime
Volume
$73.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$1.63K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 08:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
47% 68% +$80
Crypto
39% 60% +$202
Politics
6% 70% -$581
Sports
4% 48% -$145
Tech
3% 57% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -261 -$254 99¢ $-257 -$3 05-12 07:12
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +307 $152 76¢ $232 +$80 10-23 09:19
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +226 $160 90¢ $205 +$45 11-06 02:10
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +130 $127 99¢ $129 +$2 10-22 05:02
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +210 $75 43¢ $91 +$15 10-22 04:58
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +90 $80 97¢ $87 +$7 10-18 04:33
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +92 $87 89¢ $82 -$5 05-23 01:52
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +146 $74 52¢ $77 +$2 08-29 07:40
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +60 $58 99¢ $59 +$2 10-19 07:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +60 $50 99¢ $59 +$9 09-07 08:38
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +60 $56 97¢ $58 +$2 10-19 07:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +60 $49 94¢ $57 +$8 10-05 07:44
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 08-28 05:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +40 $38 87¢ $35 -$3 10-17 22:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +60 $19 56¢ $34 +$15 10-22 04:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +140 $66 20¢ $29 -$37 11-06 08:08
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +147 $32 19¢ $28 -$4 10-22 04:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30 $29 91¢ $27 -$2 10-18 15:55
Will Gen.G Esports make a roster change by December? Yes — +40 $34 64¢ $26 -$8 08-30 10:29
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -545 -$98 2¢ $-10 +$89 07-06 03:11
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $31 8¢ $5 -$26 10-11 05:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +170 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 02:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 01:59