Youthful-Jumper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

552

lifetime

Volume

$6.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-18 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 71% +$10

Other

12% — —

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No		+16	$10	39¢	$6	$-4	07-01 18:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	6	$259	279	17	+262	open	—	05-04 01:40
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	4	$235	274	167	+106	open	—	07-03 21:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	05-28 05:39
btc updown 5m 1776308100	6	$206	112	111	+1	open	—	04-16 02:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$202	105	105	+0	open	—	04-19 00:08
btc updown 5m 1776302100	5	$199	223	106	+118	open	—	04-16 01:19
btc updown 5m 1776222000	4	$139	99	96	+3	open	—	04-15 03:03
btc updown 5m 1776221700	2	$124	88	85	+3	open	—	04-15 02:59
btc updown 5m 1776307800	3	$112	119	10	+109	open	—	04-16 02:54
btc updown 5m 1776307500	3	$112	114	13	+101	open	—	04-16 02:48
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	2	$110	63	63	+0	open	—	07-18 23:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-22 15:45
btc updown 5m 1776205800	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	04-14 22:33
btc updown 5m 1776211800	2	$100	134	0	+134	open	—	04-15 00:13
btc updown 5m 1776205200	2	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	04-14 22:22
btc updown 5m 1776308700	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	04-16 03:08
bitcoin above 70k on april 14	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	04-13 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	Up	+$5	05-09 03:00
btc updown 5m 1776222900	3	$95	94	30	+63	open	—	04-15 03:19
btc updown 5m 1776198300	6	$75	72	70	+2	open	—	04-14 20:29
btc updown 5m 1776266400	2	$70	85	0	+85	open	—	04-15 15:23
btc updown 5m 1776880800	4	$67	44	43	+1	open	—	04-22 18:04
btc updown 5m 1776370200	3	$62	67	5	+62	open	—	04-16 20:13
btc updown 5m 1776222300	2	$60	102	0	+102	open	—	04-15 03:08
btc updown 5m 1776206100	2	$60	67	0	+67	open	—	04-14 22:39
btc updown 5m 1776307200	2	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	04-16 02:44
btc updown 5m 1776668400	4	$54	69	19	+49	open	—	04-20 07:04
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	04-22 15:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	05-12 01:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-21 04:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 23:51:36	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xbb6758…
07-18 23:51:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	90¢	$20	0xfe4833…
07-18 23:50:16	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xab193f…
07-18 23:50:00	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xfc2565…
07-04 02:52:53	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x61de13…
07-04 00:57:58	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6b16bd…
07-04 00:57:20	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbf0148…
07-03 22:07:26	btc updown 5m 1783116300	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x7a06f8…
07-03 22:05:46	btc updown 5m 1783116300	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x228b7f…
07-03 21:58:25	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	97	15¢	$14	0xfbbf8b…
07-03 21:57:20	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	70	30¢	$21	0xc78649…
07-03 21:55:01	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xbbdfd6…
07-03 21:37:31	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc033f9…
07-02 05:14:17	btc updown 15m 1782968400	Down	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x1446a1…
07-02 05:13:14	btc updown 15m 1782968400	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd3e9ec…
07-02 05:11:46	btc updown 15m 1782968400	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x377a9a…
07-02 05:10:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x42c704…
07-02 05:08:41	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcb25f7…
07-02 05:07:26	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7676c4…
07-02 05:01:41	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x64a18d…
07-02 04:12:14	bitcoin up or down july 2 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x667321…
07-01 18:34:29	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8ff3ad…
07-01 18:34:04	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xfbd999…
06-30 07:12:16	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0xc5ead6…
06-29 02:37:10	btc updown 5m 1782700500	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x99298d…
06-29 02:35:59	btc updown 5m 1782700500	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x66aa48…
06-29 02:34:10	btc updown 5m 1782700200	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x7ba496…
06-29 02:32:47	btc updown 5m 1782700200	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x150d69…
06-28 16:57:19	btc updown 5m 1782665700	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x4f06ea…
06-28 16:56:31	btc updown 5m 1782665700	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5d696c…
06-28 16:48:16	btc updown 5m 1782665100	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x962bba…
06-28 16:47:58	btc updown 5m 1782665100	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xa66885…
06-28 16:47:16	btc updown 5m 1782665100	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8754d8…
06-27 23:43:01	btc updown 4h 1782590400	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd81545…
06-27 23:41:05	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x25d486…
06-27 23:38:44	btc updown 5m 1782603300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd8d45…
06-27 04:07:38	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x36035d…
06-21 16:28:26	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x443735…
05-28 05:59:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xde39c4…
05-28 05:57:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xe248a7…
05-28 05:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x9899db…
05-28 05:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe21c97…
05-28 05:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe3f236…
05-28 05:45:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x072946…
05-28 05:39:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x323267…
05-26 04:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x57f4c2…
05-26 04:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc2638e…
05-26 04:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x078840…
05-26 04:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe12bfb…
05-26 04:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x033920…
05-26 04:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x96eaa7…
05-26 04:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x55e971…
05-26 04:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfec6dc…
05-23 00:07:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x69bef2…
05-22 23:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf1ed7e…
05-22 23:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x235fda…
05-22 23:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x62a855…
05-22 23:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x8f324d…
05-22 23:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x92703e…
05-21 04:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x420f80…
05-21 04:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8a5300…
05-21 04:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0e1430…
05-21 04:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x007327…
05-21 04:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8fa4f8…
05-21 04:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7a0f1c…
05-21 04:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe5b9ec…
05-21 04:16:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xdf994d…
05-21 04:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x519512…
05-13 05:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x5a32df…
05-13 05:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6ddc68…
05-13 05:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xb8e288…
05-13 05:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x279930…
05-13 05:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc2190d…
05-12 06:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xd27c64…
05-12 06:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb5a69d…
05-12 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8f0450…
05-12 01:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x0e0f96…
05-12 01:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4e1e75…
05-12 01:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x839855…
05-12 01:47:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xcde8f4…
05-12 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x428be4…
05-11 23:57:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x169fd5…
05-11 04:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xa09c19…
05-11 03:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x02aeaa…
05-11 03:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x5e9f1d…
05-11 03:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcbbc89…
05-11 03:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xcc2a60…
05-11 03:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbdf9b8…
05-11 03:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x57ada0…
05-11 03:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe09c9e…
05-11 03:18:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x08f659…
05-11 03:17:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xaa6caf…
05-11 03:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x51badb…
05-11 01:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe88333…
05-11 01:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd2389f…
05-10 04:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb16dd4…
05-10 04:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xa981eb…
05-10 04:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x1a19ef…
05-10 04:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe77bf2…
05-10 04:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9a2281…