Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
152
lifetime
Volume
$835
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$140
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-30 15:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
82%
Politics
15%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -28 $-27 100¢ $-28 $-0 06-05 01:56
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 06-30 01:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-08 17:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -16 $-16 100¢ $-16 +$1 06-15 14:25
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-20 19:21
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-29 23:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-14 07:04
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +3,602 $17 $5 $-12 06-26 14:22
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-19 22:06
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-07 12:48
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-02 22:30
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-17 13:32
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-04 20:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 28¢ $1 $-4 06-30 15:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-25 22:10
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-26 05:23
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-29 04:31
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-14 20:04
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-25 17:35