Our-Blend — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

391 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.49K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 08-11 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

52% 76% -$111

Politics

40% 57% -$101

Tech

7% 82% -$30

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	06-29 04:31
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	06-26 05:23
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	06-14 20:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$4	3¢	$0	-$3	07-01 15:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	42	$291	148	148	+0	Yes	+$3	07-04 14:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	40	$234	123	123	+0	No	+$4	06-15 14:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	24	$209	107	107	+0	No	+$3	05-31 08:05
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	18	$192	126	70	+56	No	+$1	06-17 14:36
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	18	$170	85	85	+0	No	$0	07-04 14:27
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	14	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$1	06-18 16:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	11	$67	57	10	+47	Yes	+$0	05-31 12:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$64	48	48	+0	No	-$29	05-23 10:20
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	11	$58	2,589	35	+2,554	No	-$18	06-28 17:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	7	$54	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-05 01:56
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$1	06-23 16:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	5	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-08 17:25
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	2	$37	412	412	+0	open	—	07-04 14:28
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	7	$36	7,330	0	+7,330	Yes	-$31	05-31 16:00
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	5	$36	37	0	+37	Yes	+$1	06-01 02:14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?	1	$33	5,151	0	+5,151	No	-$33	06-08 12:32
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$32	16,125	0	+16,125	No	-$32	06-09 00:13
will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by june 30 2026	5	$31	161	161	+0	No	-$7	06-10 04:43
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?	6	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-08 03:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-04 14:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-23 11:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	06-30 11:52
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	1	$21	1,081	0	+1,081	No	-$21	06-07 19:17
will hunter biden announce a delaware senate run by july 14	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-04 14:28
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 14:29
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$20	2,588	2,588	+0	No	-$15	07-18 15:29
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	4	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-09 20:29
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	4	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$1	06-30 01:44
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	1	$17	3,602	0	+3,602	No	-$17	06-26 14:22
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?	1	$16	2,182	0	+2,182	No	-$16	06-05 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 22:08:58	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x4bb82a…
07-18 15:29:52	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,583	0¢	$3	0x00bc87…
07-04 15:11:52	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x8c1ff1…
07-04 15:10:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x557e1b…
07-04 14:50:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xeac818…
07-04 14:50:19	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6be3b2…
07-04 14:48:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1ef6db…
07-04 14:41:02	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0xbc2790…
07-04 14:41:01	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xc096cc…
07-04 14:41:01	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8064df…
07-04 14:41:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x7fb2ef…
07-04 14:41:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4d1093…
07-04 14:41:01	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x0237f2…
07-04 14:29:01	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2d4746…
07-04 14:28:41	will hunter biden announce a delaware senate run by july 14	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc2ce77…
07-04 14:28:31	Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	412	1¢	$2	0x752a8f…
07-04 14:28:13	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xda24df…
07-04 14:27:53	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x0ef4c8…
07-04 08:39:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a3784…
07-04 08:39:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5c0ba…
07-04 08:39:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa62f57…
07-04 08:39:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c8d72…
07-04 08:39:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b4233…
07-04 08:39:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe61d28…
07-04 08:39:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde9466…
07-04 08:39:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd52dec…
07-04 08:39:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb25941…
07-04 08:39:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21368f…
07-04 08:39:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4a97c…
07-04 08:39:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc26929…
07-04 08:39:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0b3ca…
07-04 08:39:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d2918…
07-04 08:39:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c6a33…
07-04 08:39:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cf27d…
07-04 08:39:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x170b3c…
07-04 05:38:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7c9b5d…
07-04 02:43:01	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd09136…
07-04 02:25:35	Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x966b3e…
07-03 12:40:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x241645…
07-03 02:08:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1e5ab1…
07-02 23:49:13	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x97f236…
07-02 09:00:20	Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	412	8¢	$34	0xbcc069…
07-02 03:58:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xac9288…
07-01 15:07:47	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb69d7b…
07-01 14:47:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9fe8f6…
07-01 12:34:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad541f…
07-01 12:34:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1de468…
07-01 10:03:35	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c160c…
07-01 09:38:05	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x83aed4…
06-30 15:00:47	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xad8706…
06-30 11:52:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40c034…
06-30 11:52:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3515fc…
06-30 03:53:37	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadc7d4…
06-30 01:44:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3173e…
06-30 01:44:01	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6ca05…
06-29 23:25:49	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbe127…
06-29 21:51:31	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x6e19e6…
06-29 21:41:13	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1afc0f…
06-29 21:00:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x85ba8e…
06-29 20:58:05	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb4c550…
06-29 20:57:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x537fbe…
06-29 20:55:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdf35ac…
06-29 20:49:17	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd2b1b4…
06-29 20:48:50	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb05eed…
06-29 20:22:17	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0ceb6a…
06-29 19:57:37	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd8d2ad…
06-29 19:45:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7e4f19…
06-29 14:05:10	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6005b4…
06-29 04:31:14	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xfd8a21…
06-29 01:08:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c0bbf…
06-29 01:08:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x573967…
06-28 23:18:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91e1f5…
06-28 17:12:37	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6b8d99…
06-28 16:27:46	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x218bdb…
06-28 13:05:53	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77f406…
06-28 13:05:19	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x0c5cee…
06-27 23:32:20	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdd10b0…
06-27 17:26:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x214cd1…
06-27 14:40:49	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20ec19…
06-27 14:38:55	Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb8464…
06-26 17:08:07	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7fc9f…
06-26 16:06:52	Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6aab6…
06-26 14:22:58	Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	3,602	0¢	$17	0x7b1ef6…
06-26 07:58:14	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7aa0be…
06-26 07:58:13	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x82771b…
06-26 07:45:53	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f4213…
06-26 05:23:02	Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb34375…
06-25 22:11:31	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe3030…
06-25 22:10:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3382a3…
06-25 17:35:38	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd54f0d…
06-25 17:35:25	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc8d656…
06-24 23:08:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbf7b91…
06-24 23:07:46	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa0ccec…
06-23 20:29:02	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb8d3ac…
06-23 16:33:05	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x76d6f8…
06-23 00:10:34	Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a57fa…
06-21 12:18:58	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3dba7…
06-20 22:13:38	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48fd5f…
06-20 19:21:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4a1a6…
06-20 13:18:34	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0aaf40…