Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$233

Unrealized P&L

+$60

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

662

Trades

1,826

lifetime

Volume

$79.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$2.98K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 07-03 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

43% 58% -$444

Crypto

26% 76% +$105

Politics

22% 63% +$374

Sports

7% 37% -$132

Tech

1% 40% -$136

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+3,000	$2,809	98¢	$2.9K	+$130	05-17 02:37
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No		+200	$114	22¢	$44	-$70	05-01 15:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	9	$6.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$100	05-05 06:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	25	$4.4K	2,200	2,600	-400	No	+$180	04-05 05:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	10	$3.8K	1,466	2,400	-934	No	+$1	04-13 13:57
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	18	$2.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$75	05-05 11:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-17 02:37
italy nordio reform referendum passes	7	$1.6K	800	1,200	-400	No	-$30	03-23 17:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	9	$1.6K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$184	05-07 13:07
sea juv gen 2026 04 06 juv	10	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	04-06 15:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$1.3K	759	759	+0	No	+$194	04-22 03:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.3K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$332	05-07 10:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$228	04-28 16:53
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	12	$1.1K	1,245	0	+1,245	No	+$184	05-07 15:38
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	4	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Howard Bison	+$1	03-17 20:05
lol dk hle1 2026 04 08	6	$974	500	500	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$24	04-08 09:31
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	8	$949	900	900	+0	No	+$17	03-16 18:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$858	500	500	+0	No	+$140	05-09 04:10
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$786	800	800	+0	No	$0	03-22 03:17
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$760	400	400	+0	No	+$8	03-30 10:10
epl not ast 2026 04 12 not	10	$710	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$10	04-12 13:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$696	400	400	+0	Yes	-$8	04-06 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 09:15 UTC	2	$598	600	0	+600	Up	+$2	04-11 09:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$550	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-10 20:17
atp choinsk huesler 2026 04 11	7	$538	580	250	+330	Marc-Andrea Huesler	-$146	04-11 11:38
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	1	$510	1,000	0	+1,000	Tennessee Volunteers	+$490	03-22 16:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$480	400	200	+200	No	-$8	05-06 10:46
cs2 mibr 3dmax 2026 04 09	18	$462	337	336	+1	3DMAX	+$11	04-09 10:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$451	500	0	+500	Yes	+$49	04-27 11:07
nba por den 2026 04 06	4	$441	515	99	+416	Nuggets	-$22	04-07 03:46
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	12	$425	500	300	+200	No	+$15	04-06 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 13:10 UTC	3	$415	423	0	+423	Up	+$8	02-19 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 04:50:32	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	70	80¢	$56	0xf9abc7…
07-03 04:33:20	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xa4ae24…
06-28 03:31:25	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	82	62¢	$51	0x7db5aa…
06-28 03:31:07	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xead1a4…
06-28 03:30:58	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdb8288…
06-27 10:39:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xec815b…
06-27 04:58:22	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0xf58849…
06-27 04:37:02	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xd6ca2d…
06-27 04:37:01	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x4cbed6…
06-26 03:09:52	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x69e252…
06-25 22:41:13	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x1631dc…
06-25 22:41:11	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x86e49f…
06-24 02:55:25	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xfa92ad…
06-23 04:50:25	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xff567d…
06-23 04:46:17	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Algeria	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xdacdc3…
06-22 16:07:20	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xefe063…
06-22 02:55:22	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x4d4fa8…
06-21 14:30:56	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xfb8661…
06-21 13:14:40	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x4f9cbb…
06-20 15:00:49	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x75fddc…
06-20 04:37:58	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xeb81c5…
06-20 04:37:07	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x83078c…
06-20 04:37:02	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x20e492…
06-20 04:36:35	Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	65	30¢	$19	0xb9e8c6…
06-19 15:48:41	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x42c592…
06-19 02:45:10	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x97bf1e…
06-19 02:07:29	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x15e3af…
06-19 02:04:04	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xd5d16c…
06-18 15:27:49	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xf85d18…
06-15 09:40:18	Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0x70c6fe…
06-15 09:12:45	Spain to score first vs. Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	58	89¢	$52	0x6dbd57…
06-15 03:39:31	Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd91cff…
06-15 03:38:43	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x82f24f…
06-15 03:38:31	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x221dc5…
06-14 05:26:51	Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x561386…
06-14 04:13:03	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x902b37…
06-14 04:01:10	Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xc9b196…
06-13 16:46:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x261f67…
06-13 16:16:34	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x41870b…
06-12 12:53:24	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x49bbb6…
06-12 08:30:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x2ef552…
06-12 04:46:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x93495f…
06-12 03:14:22	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x365df5…
06-11 18:58:48	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x8a9d7c…
06-11 04:26:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0xa028b0…
06-11 04:25:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x487995…
06-11 04:25:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8e1bb3…
06-04 18:46:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xf92079…
06-04 18:11:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x20c407…
06-04 12:03:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xf7fa8d…
05-30 14:45:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x894c38…
05-24 07:09:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,100	1¢	$7	0xa0cce9…
05-17 12:29:09	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x05dab5…
05-17 10:38:05	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x3d9a41…
05-17 10:27:49	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xab8ab2…
05-17 10:22:33	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x54daa3…
05-17 09:43:12	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x884bba…
05-17 09:42:39	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x4b11bb…
05-17 09:34:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xc7caaf…
05-17 09:33:55	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0xb37c49…
05-17 08:38:37	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1a2a4b…
05-17 08:33:10	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xad1cb0…
05-17 08:19:31	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	42	66¢	$28	0x2ebfdc…
05-17 02:37:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,868	0xbcda8b…
05-14 08:21:13	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	250	19¢	$48	0xf9fa68…
05-14 08:20:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x70179e…
05-14 08:19:28	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xa7a1b5…
05-13 22:54:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x020df1…
05-13 19:23:03	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa3c263…
05-13 19:22:56	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc62713…
05-13 19:19:30	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x2873b7…
05-13 19:16:05	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0x21a205…
05-13 18:58:54	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x424dbe…
05-13 18:18:57	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x5bcaba…
05-13 16:29:11	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x591b9e…
05-13 16:27:58	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xbabe03…
05-13 16:27:46	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x6c0321…
05-12 09:07:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x979f65…
05-12 02:28:39	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x38ae7f…
05-11 17:50:28	Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xdb18bf…
05-11 17:01:44	Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x06166d…
05-11 15:00:33	Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x730f3b…
05-11 12:59:08	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x97613f…
05-11 12:44:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7c2b85…
05-11 12:42:34	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x4c2c5b…
05-11 12:20:29	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0x69bb6d…
05-11 11:45:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xfbd78d…
05-11 10:35:04	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8458e3…
05-11 09:34:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0x92fde2…
05-11 09:03:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc37260…
05-11 08:15:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x11e62f…
05-11 07:41:04	Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xaca388…
05-11 07:16:20	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0xb40dc8…
05-11 05:18:58	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xbdcb4f…
05-11 01:53:38	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,803	1¢	$20	0x717173…
05-10 22:57:14	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x3b3015…
05-10 20:17:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	28¢	$280	0x905122…
05-10 16:35:53	Will AC Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x49c350…
05-10 14:04:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xe52a50…
05-09 19:19:40	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x37e7dd…