Realized P&L
-$855
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
53.4%
Resolved
2,255
Trades
14,451
lifetime
Volume
$52.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$3
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 07-21 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 45% $-612
Sports
23% 25% $-187
Other
21% 43% $-56
Politics
2%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1292 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 07-01 13:15
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +0 $-0 85¢ $0 +$0 07-05 09:56
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 69¢ $0 $-0 07-05 09:56
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 46¢ $0 $-0 07-05 09:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $-3 44¢ $0 +$4 07-05 09:56
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +0 $1 67¢ $0 $-1 07-05 09:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $1 26¢ $0 $-1 07-05 09:56
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1 $0 $0 +$0 07-05 09:56
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +1 $1 $0 $-1 07-05 09:56
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +0 $3 15¢ $0 $-2 07-05 09:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 07-03 18:06
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $2 30¢ $0 $-2 07-05 09:56
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-05 07:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +0 $2 $0 $-2 07-05 07:56