Realized P&L
-$836
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
17.4%
Resolved
115
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$2.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$361
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-27 12:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
66% 12% -$546
Politics
32% 5% -$255
Tech
1% 0% -$5
Sports
1% 0% -$20
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,829 $90 2¢ $123 +$33 09-12 08:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +86 $30 44¢ $37 +$7 07-19 06:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +268 $15 13¢ $34 +$19 06-16 11:46
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,888 $40 2¢ $32 -$8 10-06 11:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +163 $30 16¢ $26 -$4 07-07 16:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +106 $10 16¢ $17 +$7 06-16 11:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +92 $15 18¢ $16 +$1 06-16 11:49
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +556 $50 3¢ $14 -$36 07-20 10:38
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +312 $20 4¢ $14 -$6 08-18 04:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +652 $15 2¢ $13 -$2 10-07 10:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,227 $20 1¢ $12 -$8 10-27 12:42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +1,028 $30 1¢ $10 -$20 10-06 11:13
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $10 1¢ $6 -$4 08-17 07:09
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +815 $10 0¢ $4 -$6 10-07 10:37
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 Yes +838 $75 0¢ $2 -$73 10-06 11:23