Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
6
Trades
4,838
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$36
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 06-05 13:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
67%
Other
24% 50% $-1
Politics
4% 100% +$0
Sports
4% 50% $-0
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes -12 $-4 37¢ $-5 $-1 05-31 01:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -4 $-3 97¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 07:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-3 84¢ $-3 $-0 05-31 01:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -3 $-3 94¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 07:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-2 64¢ $-3 $-1 06-01 07:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 07:05
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-3 74¢ $-2 +$0 06-01 07:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3 $-2 72¢ $-2 +$0 06-01 07:05
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 07:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 07:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 07:06
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 07:06
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 07:06
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 07:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes -1 $-1 72¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 07:06
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 07:06
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 07:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -2 $-1 53¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 07:06
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes -4 $-2 18¢ $-1 +$1 06-01 12:45
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -3 $-1 18¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 07:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -2 $-1 20¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 07:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-30 21:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No -1 $-1 18¢ $-0 +$1 06-01 07:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 16¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 06:58