Wrong-Input 0xb3265e…79d18b
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Realized P&L
+$165
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved
203
Trades
425
lifetime
Volume
$6.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$380
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-30 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Sports
47% 42% +$407
Other
36% 35% -$147
Politics
17% 39% -$71
Crypto
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +200 $30 26¢ $53 +$23 09-28 18:42
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +75 $33 64¢ $48 +$16 09-16 20:39
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +65 $31 72¢ $46 +$16 05-28 23:48
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +60 $31 54¢ $32 +$1 10-22 19:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,000 $36 3¢ $31 -$5 09-28 21:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +40 $16 70¢ $28 +$12 05-28 23:53
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +38 $17 50¢ $19 +$2 10-29 15:10
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +40 $15 44¢ $18 +$3 05-28 23:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $18 18¢ $18 $0 10-30 23:28
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +150 $32 11¢ $16 -$15 10-13 20:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +100 $16 15¢ $15 -$1 10-30 23:28
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +55 $15 22¢ $12 -$3 05-28 23:51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $28 4¢ $11 -$16 09-28 22:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +40 $16 28¢ $11 -$5 05-28 23:49
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +40 $15 26¢ $11 -$5 05-29 02:56
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $14 9¢ $7 -$7 05-28 23:50
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -60 -$6 6¢ $-3 +$3 10-29 02:37