Realized P&L (30d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
478
669 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$34.2K
$56.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$35.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Sports
32% 53% -$66
Other
18% 0% -$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6,292 $6,167 99¢ $6.2K +$40 10-14 07:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,512 $5,402 98¢ $5.4K +$19 10-30 02:17
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,940 $3,845 93¢ $3.7K -$170 10-19 00:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,589 $3,306 94¢ $3.4K +$86 10-08 17:02
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,735 $2,613 96¢ $2.6K +$10 10-30 20:19
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,852 $2,589 90¢ $2.6K -$12 10-29 22:53
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,145 $2,104 98¢ $2.1K +$5 10-29 07:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,166 $1,096 94¢ $1.1K -$6 10-20 01:39
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,145 $1,075 95¢ $1.1K +$12 09-24 17:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,188 $1,031 86¢ $1.0K -$15 10-21 19:38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +1,009 $935 88¢ $893 -$42 10-17 17:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +626 $608 96¢ $603 -$5 10-20 19:42
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +535 $521 98¢ $527 +$6 10-14 14:22
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +584 $518 86¢ $505 -$13 10-26 08:17
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +500 $467 91¢ $455 -$12 10-18 08:47
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +350 $322 92¢ $323 +$2 10-30 16:04
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +289 $283 97¢ $281 -$2 09-30 17:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,852 $265 10¢ $275 +$11 10-31 02:48
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,940 $102 7¢ $266 +$163 10-19 13:20
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +257 $252 98¢ $252 +$1 10-31 18:29
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +244 $234 96¢ $233 $0 10-30 13:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $232 90¢ $226 -$6 09-24 22:21
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +246 $218 89¢ $218 $0 09-26 05:47
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,589 $282 6¢ $197 -$85 10-19 19:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,188 $156 15¢ $172 +$16 10-22 23:45
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +214 $166 78¢ $167 +$1 10-31 18:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +3,029 $130 4¢ $124 -$6 10-31 17:50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,009 $78 12¢ $116 +$38 10-11 01:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,512 $109 2¢ $91 -$18 10-30 14:26
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +672 $84 14¢ $91 +$7 10-30 19:10