(anonymous) 0xb33c24…a5ddd1 Create alert
4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$73
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved
35
Trades
874
lifetime
Volume
$59.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$37.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 01:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Sports
32% 53% -$66
Other
17% 0% -$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6,292 $6,167 99¢ $6.2K +$56 10-14 07:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,512 $5,402 98¢ $5.4K +$8 10-30 02:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +4,434 $4,251 97¢ $4.3K +$44 11-02 19:00
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,940 $3,845 92¢ $3.6K -$214 10-19 00:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,589 $3,306 94¢ $3.4K +$86 10-08 17:02
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,852 $2,589 89¢ $2.5K -$45 10-29 22:53
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,145 $2,104 98¢ $2.1K +$4 10-29 07:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,166 $1,096 94¢ $1.1K -$6 10-20 01:39
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,145 $1,075 95¢ $1.1K +$11 09-24 17:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,188 $1,031 88¢ $1.0K +$8 10-21 19:38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +1,009 $935 92¢ $923 -$12 10-17 17:23
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,067 $937 86¢ $923 -$14 11-01 15:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +626 $608 96¢ $601 -$7 10-20 19:42
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +535 $521 99¢ $528 +$7 10-14 14:22
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +530 $486 94¢ $501 +$15 11-03 01:09
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +504 $482 95¢ $481 $0 11-01 15:54
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +500 $467 94¢ $467 +$0 10-18 08:47
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,940 $102 8¢ $309 +$207 10-19 13:20
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,852 $265 11¢ $308 +$43 10-31 02:48
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +289 $283 97¢ $281 -$2 09-30 17:32
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +257 $252 98¢ $252 +$1 10-31 18:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $232 94¢ $236 +$4 09-24 22:21
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +246 $218 88¢ $217 -$1 09-26 05:47
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +266 $206 78¢ $206 $0 11-03 01:19
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,468 $184 14¢ $198 +$14 11-02 08:16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,589 $282 6¢ $197 -$85 10-19 19:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,188 $156 12¢ $148 -$8 10-22 23:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +4,307 $177 3¢ $136 -$41 11-02 11:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,512 $109 2¢ $102 -$7 10-30 14:26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,009 $78 8¢ $86 +$8 10-11 01:41