Realized P&L (7d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$73
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
121
595 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$10.4K
$55.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$34.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 02:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
50% — —
Sports
32% 53% -$66
Other
18% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6,292 $6,167 100¢ $6.3K +$97 10-14 07:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,512 $5,402 98¢ $5.4K +$8 10-30 02:17
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,940 $3,845 92¢ $3.6K -$229 10-19 00:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,589 $3,306 94¢ $3.4K +$50 10-08 17:02
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,852 $2,589 91¢ $2.6K -$7 10-29 22:53
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,500 $2,390 95¢ $2.4K -$17 10-30 01:30
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,145 $2,104 98¢ $2.1K -$1 10-29 07:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,166 $1,096 94¢ $1.1K -$6 10-20 01:39
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,145 $1,075 95¢ $1.1K +$11 09-24 17:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,188 $1,031 86¢ $1.0K -$4 10-21 19:38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +1,009 $935 92¢ $923 -$12 10-17 17:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +626 $608 97¢ $606 -$2 10-20 19:42
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +535 $521 96¢ $516 -$5 10-14 14:22
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +584 $518 88¢ $511 -$7 10-26 08:17
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +500 $467 90¢ $452 -$15 10-18 08:47
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,940 $102 8¢ $325 +$223 10-19 13:20
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +289 $283 98¢ $281 -$2 09-30 17:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $232 94¢ $236 +$4 09-24 22:21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,589 $282 6¢ $233 -$49 10-19 19:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,390 $220 9¢ $226 +$6 10-29 17:56
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +246 $218 91¢ $223 +$4 09-26 05:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,188 $156 14¢ $160 +$4 10-22 23:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1,997 $85 5¢ $101 +$15 10-29 23:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,422 $107 2¢ $100 -$7 10-30 01:40
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,009 $78 8¢ $86 +$8 10-11 01:41
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,166 $75 6¢ $76 +$1 10-14 19:26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,145 $68 5¢ $59 -$9 09-30 14:45
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +500 $35 10¢ $47 +$12 10-20 11:23
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +324 $39 12¢ $41 +$2 10-28 13:51
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,065 $41 2¢ $40 $0 10-29 22:37