Thin-Hardboard — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

9

Trades

24

lifetime

Volume

$62

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3

Open exposure

$0

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up		+5	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-05 14:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	6	5	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 12:12
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 14:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 13:32
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	2	$4	6	5	+1	open	—	05-05 07:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-05 04:50
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-05 02:04
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 07:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 06:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 02:04
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	+$5	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-04 22:34
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 14:14
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-05 04:30
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:30
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	Up	+$0	05-05 04:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	2	$0	0	11	-11	open	—	05-05 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 14:14:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x56bcc8…
05-05 14:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc527df…
05-05 13:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x402949…
05-05 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd98015…
05-05 12:30:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe681c4…
05-05 12:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7196bf…
05-05 09:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x476d8c…
05-05 09:51:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x973209…
05-05 07:46:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd08d86…
05-05 07:10:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x2cca39…
05-05 07:10:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xcf5904…
05-05 07:06:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x422959…
05-05 06:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd38bb1…
05-05 05:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x1dc16c…
05-05 04:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x79d42c…
05-05 04:50:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x52aecc…
05-05 04:30:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x06f210…
05-05 04:25:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xccea1e…
05-05 02:04:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x34b91f…
05-05 02:04:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9d58e0…
05-05 00:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x050bbf…
05-05 00:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x44dfd8…
05-05 00:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xca3640…
05-04 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x83c763…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	16	$3.13K	76	05-05 14:54
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	11	$1.45K	20	05-05 14:54
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	10	$853	26	05-05 14:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$5.21K	43	05-05 14:05
Agile-Outlay 0x2bd7…1ad6	7	$502	11	05-05 12:11
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	6	$2.76K	27	05-05 12:11
Yummy-Stacking 0x6566…478b	4	$2.50K	63	05-05 12:36
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$663	20	05-05 14:07

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