Thin-Hardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

47 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$126

$126 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	+6	$6	98¢	$6	+$0	05-06 13:07
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	+6	$6	96¢	$6	$-0	05-06 13:07
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	+6	$6	94¢	$6	+$0	05-06 12:47
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Up	+5	$1	2¢	$0	$-1	05-06 13:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$11	6	5	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-05 00:45
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-05 12:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 13:07
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 12:47
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	2	$5	7	5	+2	Up	$-3	05-06 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$5	7	5	+2	Up	$-0	05-06 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-06 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-06 01:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 08:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	2	$4	6	5	+1	Down	$-4	05-05 07:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-05 18:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Down	+$3	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 08:04
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-05 02:04
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 09:04
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-05 07:10
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-06 03:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-05 06:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 02:04
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	+$5	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	$-1	05-04 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 13:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb44b31…
05-06 13:07:30	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8673dc…
05-06 13:05:14	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x40e17b…
05-06 12:47:34	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x705961…
05-06 09:04:22	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xa26298…
05-06 08:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x82081a…
05-06 08:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x15b3a6…
05-06 07:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2da528…
05-06 06:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa86177…
05-06 05:59:54	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9d8270…
05-06 05:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x03dee2…
05-06 05:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x2deeab…
05-06 03:43:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x46c9ac…
05-06 03:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x50fb7b…
05-06 03:04:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0b5aca…
05-06 02:28:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8fee32…
05-06 02:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x25dd3e…
05-06 01:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x77a4f4…
05-06 01:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7668d7…
05-06 01:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x976d26…
05-06 00:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x227bc9…
05-05 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x1d8e5b…
05-05 18:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xca6ba2…
05-05 14:14:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x56bcc8…
05-05 14:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc527df…
05-05 13:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x402949…
05-05 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd98015…
05-05 12:30:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe681c4…
05-05 12:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7196bf…
05-05 09:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x476d8c…
05-05 09:51:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x973209…
05-05 07:46:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd08d86…
05-05 07:10:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x2cca39…
05-05 07:10:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xcf5904…
05-05 07:06:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x422959…
05-05 06:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd38bb1…
05-05 05:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x1dc16c…
05-05 04:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x79d42c…
05-05 04:50:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x52aecc…
05-05 04:30:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x06f210…
05-05 04:25:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xccea1e…
05-05 02:04:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x34b91f…
05-05 02:04:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9d58e0…
05-05 00:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x050bbf…
05-05 00:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x44dfd8…
05-05 00:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xca3640…
05-04 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x83c763…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	20	$1.17K	45	05-06 13:07
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	19	$3.78K	91	05-06 09:45
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	18	$1.77K	36	05-06 08:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	17	$5.93K	117	05-06 08:09
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	14	$4.57K	64	05-06 13:05
Agile-Outlay 0x2bd7…1ad6	12	$601	17	05-06 08:39
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	9	$3.62K	36	05-06 08:50
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	8	$1.80K	29	05-06 07:56